Radomlje
vs
Koper
1. SNL prediction
Our model says: Radomlje 1–2 Koper
The model makes it 28% Radomlje, 28% draw, 44% Koper — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Radomlje 1.13, Koper 1.75.
Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Radomlje are bottom on 5 points from 9 games; Koper are 2nd on 18 points from 10 games — 1. SNL.
- Radomlje have not won in their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Brinje-Grosuplje.
- Koper have won 4 of their last 5, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Nafta.
- Last 6 meetings: Koper 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 26 July 2026, ended Koper 2–2 Radomlje.
All Slovenian PrvaLiga predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Radomlje vs Koper
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Koper at 44% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 1,401 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Radomlje vs Koper
Radomlje
- L1-2away to Brinje-Grosuplje20 September 2026
- L0-3Maribor13 September 2026
- L1-3away to Nafta4 September 2026
- D0-0Olimpija Ljubljana29 August 2026
- L1-3Aluminij16 August 2026
Koper
- W2-0Nafta19 September 2026
- L1-3Olimpija Ljubljana12 September 2026
- W1-0away to Celje6 September 2026
- W1-0away to Aluminij28 August 2026
- W1-0away to Mura22 August 2026
What these results say
- Radomlje did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Radomlje conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radomlje had three goals or more.
- Koper scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Koper won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Koper kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
1. SNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Radomlje | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
| 2 | Koper | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Radomlje vs Koper
- 26 July 2026Koper 2–2 Radomlje1. SNL
- 18 April 2026Radomlje 0–3 Koper1. SNL
- 15 February 2026Koper 2–2 Radomlje1. SNL
- 25 October 2025Radomlje 1–1 Koper1. SNL
- 9 August 2025Koper 1–2 Radomlje1. SNL
- 5 April 2025Koper 3–1 Radomlje1. SNL
The two sides
Radomlje carry a model rating of 6.2 against 6.56 for Koper. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.13 goals for Radomlje and 1.75 for Koper. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Radomlje rate 0.57 in attack and 2.13 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Koper rate 0.68 and 1.22.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Radomlje a 0% chance of the title and Koper 18.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Koper the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.13 expected goals for Radomlje against 1.75 for Koper. Radomlje's attack/defence rating is 0.57/2.13 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.68/1.22 for Koper.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Radomlje at home · Koper away
League matches only, 1. SNL, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. SNL matches this season: Radomlje 9, Koper 10.
Radomlje score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Koper have let in 0 there.
Koper score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Radomlje have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Radomlje
- at Bravo17 Oct · 1. SNLwin 21%
- vs Mura28 Oct · 1. SNLwin 44%
- at Aluminij31 Oct · 1. SNLwin 25%
- vs Celje7 Nov · 1. SNLwin 26%
Koper
- vs Brinje-Grosuplje18 Oct · 1. SNLwin 54%
- vs Maribor28 Oct · 1. SNLwin 39%
- at Bravo31 Oct · 1. SNLwin 33%
- vs Mura7 Nov · 1. SNLwin 58%
- at Aluminij21 Nov · 1. SNLwin 38%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.