19 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923 Super Liga prediction & result

Omladinski Stadion, Belgrade
Full time3 – 5

Final score: OFK Beograd 3-5 Radnicki 1923.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% OFK Beograd, 29% draw, 44% Radnicki 1923 — fair odds of 3.70, 3.45 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Radnicki 1923 at 44% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

OFK Beograd0%Draw1%Radnicki 192399%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Dognimani Yacouba Silueassist: Tjay De Barr
6'
10'
⚽Mohamed Cisseassist: Ilija·Babic
⚽Dognimani Yacouba Silueassist: Tayrell·Wouter
21'
Edmund Addo
27'
34'
⚽Uros·Sremcevic
38'
Ilija·Babic
43'
hassan hilo
🔁Tayrell·Wouterout: J. Šljivić
45'
46'
⚽Uros·Sremcevicassist: Nemanja Glavčić
65'
Miloš Ristić
65'
🔁Issa·Bahout: Jovan Živković
66'
🔁Miloš Ristićout: Jovan Ilic
⚽andrej pavlovicassist: J. Šljivić
66'
andrej pavlovic
68'
72'
🔁Bojica Nikčevićout: Mićo Kuzmanović
75'
⚽David Buchtaassist: Ilija·Babic
80'
🔁David Buchtaout: Semir Alic
80'
🔁Uros·Sremcevicout: Aleksa Marusic
🔁Tjay De Barrout: Đ. Ranković
81'
🔁Edmund Addoout: Ethan Hoard
81'
84'
⚽Semir Alicassist: Jovan Živković

Match stats — OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923

54%Possession46%
14Shots18
6On target7
3Corners4

Line-ups

OFK Beograd 4-4-2
  • 31Vuk DraškićG
  • 77M. GobeljićD
  • 4A. PavlovicD
  • 24U. StojanovićD
  • 23M. RodićD
  • 27H. AderojuM
  • 6S. PeñaM
  • 3E. AddoM
  • 7T. WouterM
  • 11T. De BarrF
  • 42Y. SilueF
Substitutes
  • 2S. DespotovskiD
  • 26M. FallD
  • 15N. MarašD
  • 14M. MomčilovićM
  • 20J. ŠljivićM
  • 97N. StojišićG
  • 18H. TouréD
  • 45A. VukičevićD
  • 19D. RankovicM
Coach: J. Damjanović
Radnicki 1923 4-1-4-1
  • 81L. LijeskićG
  • 7B. NikčevićD
  • 5Nikola MarjanovićD
  • 6H. HiloD
  • 11I. BabićD
  • 27M. RistićM
  • 10M. CisséM
  • 19D. BuchtaM
  • 35N. GlavčićM
  • 77Issa BahM
  • 9U. SremčevićF
Substitutes
  • 26A. MarušićF
  • 8M. KuzmanovićD
  • 1M. ŠahinovićG
  • 99A. SuljićF
  • 70J. ŽivkovićF
  • 80J. IlićM
  • 28S. AlićM
  • 41Aleksa JelicF
  • 16Vanja TomićM
Coach: Fedja Dudic

Form going into OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923

OFK Beograd

Super Liga

  • L1-3away to Radnicki NIS13 September 2026

Radnicki 1923

All competitions we cover

  • W5-0Mladost Lucani12 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Macva5 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Radnicki NIS29 August 2026
  • W2-1IMT Novi Beograd22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to FK Partizan16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Radnicki 1923 went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Radnicki 1923 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11OFK Beograd132561423-911
5Radnicki 1923136251916+320

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: OFK Beograd vs Radnicki 1923

  • 1 July 2026Radnicki 1923 1–2 OFK BeogradFriendlies Clubs
  • 9 March 2026OFK Beograd 0–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
  • 4 October 2025Radnicki 1923 0–2 OFK BeogradSuper Liga
  • 12 April 2025OFK Beograd 3–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
  • 3 February 2025Radnicki 1923 2–0 OFK BeogradSuper Liga

Leading scorers: OFK Beograd and Radnicki 1923

OFK Beograd

GoalsAssists

  • Y. Silue70

Radnicki 1923

GoalsAssists

  • U. Sremčević50
  • M. Cissé41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Radnicki 1923 won 5–3 at OFK Beograd. The model had made a win for Radnicki 1923 its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Dognimani Yacouba Silue 6' for OFK Beograd, Mohamed Cisse 10' for Radnicki 1923, Dognimani Yacouba Silue 21' for OFK Beograd, Uros·Sremcevic 34' for Radnicki 1923, Uros·Sremcevic 46' for Radnicki 1923, andrej pavlovic 66' for OFK Beograd, David Buchta 75' for Radnicki 1923, Semir Alic 84' for Radnicki 1923.

How the call on OFK Beograd v Radnicki 1923 has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 36% / 31% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 9 updates, it read 27% / 29% / 44%: the biggest move is Radnicki 1923's chance of winning, up 11 points.

  1. OFK Beograd win27%▼ −9
  2. Draw29%▼ −2
  3. Radnicki 1923 win44%▲ +11

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.