Radnik Surdulica
vs
Cukaricki
Super Liga prediction
The model makes it 27% Radnik Surdulica, 20% draw, 53% Cukaricki — fair odds of 3.70, 5.00 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (8%).
Expected goals: Radnik Surdulica 1.76, Cukaricki 2.45.
Both teams to score: 76%. Over 2.5 goals: 79%, under 2.5: 21%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Radnik Surdulica
- W2-1Macva15 August 2026
- L1-2away to Vojvodina9 August 2026
- D0-0away to OFK Beograd25 July 2026
- D1-1Mladost Lucani19 July 2026
Cukaricki
- W2-0OFK Beograd15 August 2026
- D2-2away to Mladost Lucani9 August 2026
- W3-0Radnicki 19231 August 2026
- W2-0away to Radnicki NIS25 July 2026
- L0-1IMT Novi Beograd19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 1 | Cukaricki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full tables
Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki
- 18 April 2026Cukaricki 2–2 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 13 December 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 9 August 2025Radnik Surdulica 3–1 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 9 February 2024Radnik Surdulica 0–3 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 27 August 2023Cukaricki 0–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 4 May 2023Radnik Surdulica 0–1 CukarickiCup
Leading scorers
Radnik Surdulica
No league goals recorded yet.
Cukaricki
- U. Miladinović4 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Radnik Surdulica carry a model rating of 6.14 against 6.5 for Cukaricki. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): Radnik Surdulica D-D-L-W; Cukaricki L-W-W-D-W.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.76 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 2.45 for Cukaricki. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Radnik Surdulica rate 0.45 in attack and 1.88 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Cukaricki rate 0.93 and 2.07.
That points to 79% for over two and a half goals and 76% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 495 correct results out of 1026 settled predictions (48%), with 95 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Cukaricki the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.76 expected goals for Radnik Surdulica against 2.45 for Cukaricki. Radnik Surdulica's attack/defence rating is 0.45/1.88 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.93/2.07 for Cukaricki.