Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Radnik Surdulica 3-1 Cukaricki.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Radnik Surdulica, 28% draw, 30% Cukaricki — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Radnik Surdulica at 42% here. Across 3,056 settled matches (as of 6 October 2026), 1,425 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki
Line-ups
- 99S. Randjelovic
- 22U. LazicD
- 37S. AbubakarD
- 6D. StojanovicD
- 2T. SonhaD
- 28A. PejovicM
- 5M. PopovicM
- 20L. JovanovicM
- 30M. NovakovicM
- 88D. JovanovicM
- 9V. BogdanovicF
- 23L. RadojicicG
- 14U. IlicD
- 45Rafael PonteloD
- 21U. FilipovicD
- 55M. DzangarovskiF
- 3L. ZoricD
- 10R. OhoriM
- 7D. StojanovicM
- 25T. LakicF
- 1D. NikolicG
- 73N. MileticD
- 23I. MaigaD
- 26M. DjokovicD
- 3Z. SehovicD
- 14S. SissokoM
- 77A. BajovicM
- 16S. AndjelicM
- 72U. NikolicM
- 10U. MiladinovicM
- 99D. JovanovicF
- 81V. CarapicG
- 4N. TomovicD
- 19A. OuedraogoD
- 5M. DocicM
- 30N. MirkovicM
- 6V. ZuricD
- 18K. MustmaaF
- 20A. CisseM
- 27A. NanqueF
Form going into Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki
Radnik Surdulica
- L1-5away to Železničar Pančevo29 August 2026
Cukaricki
- L0-5Vojvodina29 August 2026
- L0-4away to FK Crvena Zvezda23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 9 | Cukaricki | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnik Surdulica vs Cukaricki
- 18 April 2026Cukaricki 2–2 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 13 December 2025Cukaricki 1–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 9 August 2025Radnik Surdulica 3–1 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 9 February 2024Radnik Surdulica 0–3 CukarickiSuper Liga
- 27 August 2023Cukaricki 0–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
- 4 May 2023Radnik Surdulica 0–1 CukarickiCup
Leading scorers: Radnik Surdulica and Cukaricki
Radnik Surdulica
- V. Bogdanović5 goals
- M. Novaković2 goals2 assists
Cukaricki
- U. Miladinović4 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.