6 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Partizan Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 FK Partizan.

Before kick-off the model made it 77% FK Crvena Zvezda, 13% draw, 10% FK Partizan — fair odds of 1.30, 7.69 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 4-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 77% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Crvena Zvezda97%Draw3%FK Partizan0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

1'
⚽Jeferson Marinho dos Santos
⚽Bamba Diengassist: Mirko Ivanić
17'
•Matej Gashtarov
26'
⚽Mirko Ivanić (pen)
28'
44'
Demba Seck
Derrick Luckassen
45+2'
45+3'
Stefan Milic
45'
🔁Vukasin djurdjevicout: Samson Nwulu
45'
🔁Iddrisu Babaout: Milan aleksic
Rade Krunić
52'
🔁Rade Krunićout: Mahmudu Bajo
57'
Timi Elsnik
58'
61'
🔁Stefan Milicout: Sidney Lima
61'
🔁Nikola Cumicout: Zubairu Ibrahim
🔁Bamba Diengout: Marko Arnautović
68'
🔁Timi Elsnikout: Osman Bukari
68'
🔁Mirko Ivanićout: Kristiyan Balov
69'
71'
🔁Mateja Milovanovicout: stefan petrovic
Muhammed Cham Saracevic
83'
🔁Muhammed Cham Saracevicout: Mohammad Abu Fani
83'
85'
Milan aleksic
stefan gudelj
90+4'
Mahmudu Bajo
90+5'
90+6'
aleks zekovic

Match stats — FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Partizan

44%Possession56%
11Shots12
3On target4
2Corners5

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2-4-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 32D. LuckassenD
  • 45S. GudeljD
  • 30F. Tebo UchennaD
  • 60M. Gashtarov
  • 33R. KrunicM
  • 70M. ChamF
  • 21T. ElsnikM
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 4M. IvanicF
  • 9B. DiengF
Substitutes
  • 50S. RadanovicG
  • 3Y. NakayamaD
  • 13M. VeljkovicD
  • 10A. KataiM
  • 15M. Abu FaniM
  • 20T. HandelM
  • 6M. BajoM
  • 7M. ArnautovicF
  • 75L. LoizouF
Coach: Albert Riera
FK Partizan 4-2-3-1
  • 31M. KrunicG
  • 24V. DjurdjevicD
  • 44S. MilicD
  • 40N. SimicD
  • 5M. MilovanovicD
  • 14I. BabaM
  • 11M. VukoticM
  • 19D. SeckM
  • 10I. MiladinovicM
  • 27N. CumicM
  • 89JehF
Substitutes
  • 1M. MilosevicG
  • 21S. LimaD
  • 33S. PetrovicD
  • 23S. MitrovicD
  • 8A. ZekovicM
  • 99B. KosticF
  • 20S. NwuluD
  • 7C. TraoreM
  • 39I. ZubairuM
Coach: Sasa Ilic

Form going into FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Partizan

FK Crvena Zvezda

  • W2-0away to Zemun30 August 2026
  • W4-0Cukaricki23 August 2026

FK Partizan

  • W3-1OFK Beograd31 August 2026
  • L1-3away to Mladost Lucani23 August 2026
  • L0-1Radnicki 192316 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda8710192+1722
13FK Partizan82151315-27

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs FK Partizan

  • 6 September 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 2–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 26 April 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 22 February 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 3–0 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 20 September 2025FK Partizan 1–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 12 April 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 2–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 22 February 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 3–3 FK PartizanSuper Liga

Leading scorers: FK Crvena Zvezda and FK Partizan

FK Crvena Zvezda

  • V. Kostov4 goals1 assists

FK Partizan

  • E. Kojzek2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.