Pyramids FC
vs
Wadi Degla
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Pyramids FC 1–0 Wadi Degla
The model makes it 52% Pyramids FC, 27% draw, 21% Wadi Degla — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Pyramids FC 1.63, Wadi Degla 0.84.
Both teams to score: 46%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Pyramids FC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Pyramids FC are top on 18 points from 6 games; Wadi Degla are 15th on 6 points from 6 games — Premier League.
- Pyramids FC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 4-1 win at home to Ceramica Cleopatra.
- Wadi Degla are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Petrojet.
- Last 6 meetings: Pyramids FC 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 10 January 2026, ended Wadi Degla 4–0 Pyramids FC.
More Egyptian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pyramids FC at 52% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 896 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla
Pyramids FC
- W4-1Ceramica Cleopatra12 October 2026
- W2-1away to Enppi17 September 2026
- W1-0El Gouna FC9 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al Masry31 August 2026
- W2-0Abu Qair Semad27 August 2026
Wadi Degla
- D2-2away to Petrojet13 October 2026
- L0-2El Mokawloon15 September 2026
- L1-2away to Future FC9 September 2026
- D0-0Olympic El Qanah1 September 2026
- W3-1away to Enppi28 August 2026
What these results say
- Pyramids FC won every one of these 5 matches.
- Pyramids FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Wadi Degla failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Wadi Degla conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla
- 10 January 2026Wadi Degla 4–0 Pyramids FCLeague Cup
- 8 August 2025Wadi Degla 0–0 Pyramids FCPremier League
- 6 May 2021Wadi Degla 1–3 Pyramids FCPremier League
- 11 January 2021Pyramids FC 1–1 Wadi DeglaPremier League
- 16 September 2020Wadi Degla 0–2 Pyramids FCPremier League
- 25 December 2019Pyramids FC 1–0 Wadi DeglaPremier League
Leading scorers: Pyramids FC and Wadi Degla
Pyramids FC
GoalsAssists
- Youssef Obama21
- Nasser Maher20
- Odeh Al Fakhouri20
Wadi Degla
GoalsAssists
- S. Touka20
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Pyramids FC carry a model rating of 6.7 against 6.4 for Wadi Degla. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.63 goals for Pyramids FC and 0.84 for Wadi Degla. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Pyramids FC rate 0.90 in attack and 1.22 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Wadi Degla rate 0.65 and 1.61.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Pyramids FC a 49.3% chance of the title and Wadi Degla 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,790 correct results out of 3,756 settled predictions (48%), with 377 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Pyramids FC the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.63 expected goals for Pyramids FC against 0.84 for Wadi Degla. Pyramids FC's attack/defence rating is 0.9/1.22 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.61 for Wadi Degla.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Pyramids FC at home · Wadi Degla away
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Pyramids FC 6, Wadi Degla 6.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Pyramids FC
- at Al Ahly23 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 35%
- at Petrojet9 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 55%
- vs National Bank of Egypt14 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 54%
- at Smouha SC23 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 50%
Wadi Degla
- vs Al Ittihad Alexandria24 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 36%
- at El Geish8 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 42%
- vs Ceramica Cleopatra15 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 32%
- at Abu Qair Semad22 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 47%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.