Pyramids FC
vs
Ceramica Cleopatra
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Pyramids FC 1–0 Ceramica Cleopatra
The model makes it 39% Pyramids FC, 30% draw, 31% Ceramica Cleopatra — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Pyramids FC 1.32, Ceramica Cleopatra 1.05.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 42%, under 2.5: 58%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Pyramids FC are top on 15 points from 5 games; Ceramica Cleopatra are 4th on 12 points from 5 games — Premier League.
- Pyramids FC are unbeaten in their last 5 (5 won), most recently a 2-1 win away to Enppi.
- Ceramica Cleopatra are unbeaten in 4, most recently a 2-0 win at home to National Bank of Egypt.
- Last 6 meetings: Pyramids FC 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 5 May 2026, ended Ceramica Cleopatra 1–1 Pyramids FC.
All Egyptian Premier League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Pyramids FC at 39% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
Pyramids FC
- W2-1away to Enppi17 September 2026
- W1-0El Gouna FC9 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al Masry31 August 2026
- W2-0Abu Qair Semad27 August 2026
- W3-0away to Ghazl El Mehalla22 August 2026
Ceramica Cleopatra
- W2-0National Bank of Egypt14 September 2026
- W2-0away to Smouha SC8 September 2026
- W2-0Future FC2 September 2026
- W3-1away to Al Ittihad Alexandria28 August 2026
- L1-2Olympic El Qanah23 August 2026
What these results say
- Pyramids FC won every one of these 5 matches.
- Pyramids FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Pyramids FC kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Ceramica Cleopatra scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Ceramica Cleopatra won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra
- 5 May 2026Ceramica Cleopatra 1–1 Pyramids FCPremier League
- 20 February 2026Pyramids FC 1–0 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
- 9 November 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 2–1 Pyramids FCSuper Cup
- 28 May 2025Ceramica Cleopatra 1–5 Pyramids FCPremier League
- 5 March 2025Pyramids FC 2–1 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
- 24 October 2024Pyramids FC 2–2 Ceramica CleopatraSuper Cup
Leading scorers: Pyramids FC and Ceramica Cleopatra
Pyramids FC
- Nasser Maher2 goals
- Odeh Al Fakhouri2 goals
Ceramica Cleopatra
- Mohamed Reda2 goals2 assists
- Ahmed Belhadji2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Pyramids FC carry a model rating of 6.67 against 6.58 for Ceramica Cleopatra. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.32 goals for Pyramids FC and 1.05 for Ceramica Cleopatra. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Pyramids FC rate 0.85 in attack and 1.23 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Ceramica Cleopatra rate 0.81 and 1.40.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Pyramids FC the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for Pyramids FC against 1.05 for Ceramica Cleopatra. Pyramids FC's attack/defence rating is 0.85/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.81/1.4 for Ceramica Cleopatra.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Pyramids FC at home · Ceramica Cleopatra away
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Pyramids FC 5, Ceramica Cleopatra 5.
Pyramids FC score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); Ceramica Cleopatra have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Pyramids FC
- at El Geish20 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 47%
- vs Wadi Degla29 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 45%
- at Al Ahly23 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 35%
- at Petrojet9 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 48%
- vs National Bank of Egypt14 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 49%
Ceramica Cleopatra
- vs Petrojet21 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 46%
- vs Masr31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 43%
- at Enppi25 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 44%
- vs El Mokawloon8 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 42%
- at Wadi Degla15 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 40%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.