Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Petrolul Ploiesti 2-0 Corvinul Hunedoara.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Petrolul Ploiesti, 32% draw, 30% Corvinul Hunedoara — fair odds of 2.63, 3.13 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts Petrolul Ploiesti at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Line-ups
- 38L. ZimaG
- 22M. TutuD
- 4P. PappD
- 71B. Malula
- 2A. DumitrescuD
- 19L. Santos TeixeiraM
- 20S. HancaM
- 10A. J. Bran FloresM
- 7R. MartinsM
- 9D. N'LunduluF
- 98R. JerdeaF
- 1S. RadulescuG
- 66T. CapusaD
- 29K. LudewigD
- 18C. HuseynovD
- 24A. ZaianD
- 8Lucho VegaM
- 80M. IonitaM
- 21D. ParaschivM
- 99D. IsraelM
- 21C. SanduG
- 13F. IacobD
- 15M. IvancevicD
- 30A. ManolacheD
- 10A. Neacsa
- 23I. Cararus
- 99E. YeboahM
- 20S. Ribeiro
- 22A. FabryM
- 19D. N. Pirvulescu
- 9R. EspinosaF
- 12A. FranculescuG
- 33R. D. SilviuG
- 18F. IlieD
- 97D. HrezdacM
- 70R. DeaconuM
- 47G. Uche GoodladM
- 16G. ApurM
- 32A. GillardF
- 14M. HayatuF
Form going into Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Petrolul Ploiesti
- W3-2away to Universitatea Cluj28 August 2026
Corvinul Hunedoara
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti29 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | +3 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Petrolul Ploiesti vs Corvinul Hunedoara
- 6 September 2026Petrolul Ploiesti 2–0 Corvinul HunedoaraLiga I
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.