Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 4-0 Universitatea Cluj.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Universitatea Craiova, 25% draw, 29% Universitatea Cluj — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Craiova at 46% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj
Line-ups
- 21L. PopescuG
- 3O. RomanchukD
- 24N. StevanovicD
- 6V. ScreciuD
- 17C. MoraM
- 8T. BalutaM
- 20A. CicaldauM
- 11N. BancuM
- 30D. MateiF
- 9A. Al HamlawiF
- 12M. EtimF
- 90R. SavaG
- 1A. MaximG
- 31R. WebsterD
- 4A. CretuM
- 16J. LameiraM
- 23TelesM
- 29L. BasceanuM
- 19Heriberto TavaresD
- 7S. NsimbaF
- 1S. LefterG
- 24D. MikanovicD
- 22F. PouloloD
- 6L. CristeaD
- 27A. ChipciuD
- 94O. BicM
- 98G. SimionM
- 19I. MacalouM
- 7M. DrammehM
- 29O. MendyM
- 17J. LukicF
- 93N. MichailG
- 21D. MoldovanG
- 20N. LoosliD
- 12A. FridayM
- 23E. CapradossiD
- 59A. TecheresD
- 10D. NistorM
- 18P. PinhoM
- 77A. GheorghitaF
Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Craiova
- D1-1away to Rapid31 August 2026
Universitatea Cluj
- L2-3Petrolul Ploiesti28 August 2026
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti22 August 2026
- W2-1Uta Arad17 August 2026
- W2-1FC Botosani3 August 2026
- L1-3away to Brann30 July 2026
What these results say
- Universitatea Cluj scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Cluj conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Universitatea Cluj had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 9 | +16 | 23 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs Universitatea Cluj
- 7 September 2026Universitatea Craiova 4–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 12 July 2026Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Universitatea ClujSupercupa
- 17 May 2026Universitatea Craiova 5–0 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 13 May 2026Universitatea Cluj 0–0 Universitatea CraiovaCupa României
- 13 April 2026Universitatea Cluj 4–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 1 December 2025Universitatea Cluj 0–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Craiova and Universitatea Cluj
Universitatea Craiova
GoalsAssists
- S. Elisor60
- A. Al Hamlawi40
- S. Nsimba40
Universitatea Cluj
GoalsAssists
- A. Aliev62
- O. Mendy31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.