Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest NB I prediction & result
Final score: Ferencvarosi TC 2-2 Ujpest.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Ferencvarosi TC, 30% draw, 32% Ujpest — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Hungarian NB I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ferencvarosi TC at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest
Line-ups
- 90D. DibuszG
- 14A. OsvathD
- 28T. RaemaekersD
- 4M. GomezD
- 20CaduD
- 6A. NagyM
- 17M. CorbuM
- 11DeleM
- 16K. ZachariassenM
- 15D. ArzaniM
- 18A. BagiF
- 1A. VargaG
- 54O. NagyD
- 5N. ZohoreD
- 71C. LakatosD
- 22M. BeroM
- 76K. LisztesF
- 47C. O'DowdaM
- 8N. KeitaM
- 7V. BirmancevicM
- 1P. SzappanosG
- 36F. UjvaryD
- 3HeitorD
- 94P. StronatiD
- 20M. ZekeD
- 8N. Szendrei
- 11K. HorvathM
- 17A. MatkoM
- 88M. LjujicM
- 15M. MucsanyiM
- 14E. AmenyidoF
- 32D. DomboG
- 23D. BanaiG
- 21T. ScharmerD
- 2G. BodnarD
- 5A. FiolaD
- 30J. NunesD
- 45A. AdemiM
- 77N. FenyoM
- 38K. SarkadiF
Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
- W3-0away to Gyori ETO FC3 September 2026
- W2-1away to Puskas Academy30 August 2026
Ujpest
- W3-1Vasas29 August 2026
- L0-2away to Paks21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 | Ujpest | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Ujpest
- 6 September 2026Ferencvarosi TC 2–2 UjpestNB I
- 3 May 2026Ujpest 0–5 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 7 February 2026Ferencvarosi TC 3–0 UjpestNB I
- 19 October 2025Ujpest 1–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 6 April 2025Ferencvarosi TC 2–0 UjpestNB I
- 2 April 2025Ferencvarosi TC 3–1 UjpestMagyar Kupa
Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Ujpest
GoalsAssists
- A. Matko53
- E. Amenyido34
- G. Vlijter32
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.