Kocaelispor vs Amed Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Kocaelispor 2-0 Amed.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Kocaelispor, 32% draw, 35% Amed — fair odds of 3.03, 3.13 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Amed at 35%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kocaelispor vs Amed
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 83Serhat ÖztaşdelenG
- 2Anfernee Jamal DijksteelD
- 4Tanguy ZoukrouD
- 5Emir OrtakayaD
- 21Massadio HaïdaraD
- 14ShowM
- 11Gonçalo SousaM
- 10Berkan KutluM
- 20Mahamadou SusohoM
- 32Makana BakuM
- 7Dan AgyeiF
- 22Uğur Kaan YıldızD
- 6Matej MaglicaD
- 27Ege BilimM
- 26Metehan AltunbaşF
- 23Onurcan PiriG
- 3Muharrem CinanD
- 41Onur ÖztongaD
- 17Arda OzyarF
- 19Haydar KarataşM
- 40Alban LafontG
- 7Ermal KrasniqiD
- 21Mehmet YeşilD
- 4David Robert BatesD
- 5Lumbardh DellovaD
- 91Dia SabaM
- 22Rayan RavelosonM
- 6Cem ÜstündagM
- 11Yira Collins SorM
- 10Samuel BalletF
- 99Gift OrbanF
- 17Umut MeraşD
- 18Gökhan GülM
- 45Mbaye DiagneF
- 93Rayan LutinM
- 8Furkan SoyalpM
- 27Burak BozanG
- 33Amadou CisséD
- 3Miraç AcerD
- 47Kahraman DemirtaşD
Form going into Kocaelispor vs Amed
Kocaelispor
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Başakşehir16 August 2026
Amed
All competitions we cover
- W3-0Erzurumspor FK16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 3 | Amed | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 15 | +13 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kocaelispor vs Amed
- 8 February 2025Kocaelispor 1–0 Amed1. Lig
- 2 September 2024Amed 3–0 Kocaelispor1. Lig
- 24 March 2021Kocaelispor 1–2 Amed2. Lig
- 18 November 2020Amed 3–0 Kocaelispor2. Lig
Leading scorers: Kocaelispor and Amed
Kocaelispor
GoalsAssists
- B. Kutlu51
Amed
GoalsAssists
- G. Orban104
- D. Sabia61
- S. Ballet41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kocaelispor beat Amed 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Amed at 35% and given a win for Kocaelispor 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Berkan Kutlu 16' for Kocaelispor, Matej Maglica 87' for Kocaelispor. On expected goals it finished 1.31–0.64.