11 October 2026, 14:00 UTC

Olympic El Qanah vs Al Masry Premier League prediction & result

Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
Referee: M. El Ghazy
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Olympic El Qanah 1-1 Al Masry.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Olympic El Qanah, 30% draw, 33% Al Masry — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Olympic El Qanah at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Olympic El Qanah4%Draw93%Al Masry3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Hazem Abosena
22'
Mahmoud Behiry
30'
41'
Abderrahim Deghmoum
45'
🔁Mounder Temineout: Salah Mohsen
45'
🔁Hussein Faisalout: Ali Sulieman
55'
Hassan Ali
🔁Mahmoud Hanyout: Hossam Greisha
55'
57'
🔁Mohamed Hashemout: Mostafa Al Aash
Mohab Samy
69'
75'
⚽Salah Mohsen (pen)
🔁mawuli wayoout: Mohamed Hassan
78'
🔁Mohamed Sadekout: Ahmed Ali Amer
86'
🔁Mohab Samyout: Mohamed Hozian
86'
90+1'
🔁Abderrahim Deghmoumout: Mohamed El Shamy
90+2'
🔁Hassan Aliout: Mahmoud Hamada
90+7'
Mostafa Al Aash

Match stats — Olympic El Qanah vs Al Masry

30%Possession70%
14Shots18
5On target3
3Corners4
1.58xG2.52

Goals against chances

Olympic El Qanah1 from 1.58 xGless than the chances were worth
Al Masry1 from 2.52 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Olympic El Qanah 4-2-3-1
  • 16Mohamed ShaabanG
  • 30Ossama FathyD
  • 5Ibrahim SamyD
  • 19Mohamed El ShebiniD
  • 15Mohab SamyD
  • 20H. IbrahimM
  • 8Mahmoud BehiryM
  • 18M. WayoM
  • 33Mohamed SadekM
  • 10M. HanyM
  • 9Hazem Abou SenaF
Substitutes
  • 27Ahmed AliM
  • 7Hossam GreishaF
  • 25Mostafa HamadaM
  • 22Mohamed HassanF
  • 24Mohamed DiabD
  • 40Ibrahim El SayedF
  • 13Mohamed HozianD
  • 1Mostafa MahmoudG
  • 6Momen RadyM
Coach: Abdelnaser Mohamed
Al Masry 4-2-3-1
  • 16Mahmoud HamdyG
  • 7Karim El ErakiD
  • 2B. El MohamadyD
  • 29Mohamed HashemD
  • 3Mohamed ShokryD
  • 8Hassan AliM
  • 6Mohamed MakhloufM
  • 30A. DeghmoumM
  • 32Hussein FaisalM
  • 27A. ZianiM
  • 25M. TemineF
Substitutes
  • 14Mahmoud HamadaM
  • 11Mohamed El ShamyF
  • 17Youssef El GoharyM
  • 15Ahmed El ArmoutyM
  • 33Mostafa Al AashD
  • 20K. ToualM
  • 9Salah MohsenF
  • 21A. SuliemanF
  • 1Essam TharwatG
Coach: Ahmed Samy

Form going into Olympic El Qanah vs Al Masry

Olympic El Qanah

Premier League

  • L1-2away to Masr17 September 2026
  • D1-1El Geish7 September 2026

Al Masry

Premier League

  • L0-2Al Ittihad Alexandria15 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Petrojet7 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Egypt Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Olympic El Qanah81521012-28
12Al Masry8233810-29

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Olympic El Qanah vs Al Masry

  • 13 May 2014Al Masry 0–0 Olympic El QanahPremier League
  • 19 February 2014Olympic El Qanah 1–1 Al MasryPremier League

Leading scorers: Olympic El Qanah and Al Masry

Olympic El Qanah

GoalsAssists

  • M. Wayo30
  • Hazem Abou Sena21

Al Masry

GoalsAssists

  • Salah Mohsen40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Olympic El Qanah and Al Masry drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Olympic El Qanah at 37% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Hazem Abosena 22' for Olympic El Qanah, Salah Mohsen (penalty) 75' for Al Masry. On expected goals it finished 1.58–2.52.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.