3 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Referee: Dario Herrera, Argentina
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Newell's Old Boys 0-0 Lanus.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Newell's Old Boys, 32% draw, 34% Lanus — fair odds of 2.94, 3.13 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Newell's Old Boys at 34%: of 4,355 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Newell's Old Boys3%Draw94%Lanus3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Lautaro Gianettiout: Bruno Cabrera
6'
23'
Lucas Agustín Besozzi
🔁Facundo Samuel Guchout: Alan Soñora
60'
🔁Santiago Germán Solari Ferreyraout: Walter Nunez
60'
64'
🔁Franco Nahuel Watsonout: Marcelino Moreno
73'
Ronaldo Dejesús López
76'
🔁Allan Steven Wlk Duréout: Yoshan Valois
76'
🔁Lucas Agustín Besozziout: Gonzalo German Perez Corbalan
76'
🔁Diego Agustín Medinaout: Gonzalo Thomás Lobos
77'
Yoshan Valois
🔁Luca Regiardoout: Jerónimo Gómez Mattar
87'
90'
🔁Eduardo Salvioout: Thiago laplace

Match stats — Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus

47%Possession53%
8Shots11
3On target3
3Corners5

Line-ups

Newell's Old Boys 4-2-3-1
  • 30J. ReinattiG
  • 6M. OrtegaD
  • 17L. GianettiD
  • 16L. CarrizoD
  • 28J. RussoD
  • 26R. HerreraM
  • 5L. RegiardoM
  • 7W. MazzanttiM
  • 20Facundo GauchM
  • 32S. SolariM
  • 9M. CóccaroF
Substitutes
  • 24F. EscobarD
  • 25B. CabreraD
  • 27L. GómezM
  • 19J. MattarM
  • 4A. MonteroM
  • 33W. NúñezF
  • 99I. RamírezF
  • 39T. RiosF
  • 22O. SalomónD
Coach: F. Kudelka
Lanus 4-2-3-1
  • 26N. LosadaG
  • 33T. GuidaraD
  • 24C. IzquierdozD
  • 35R. De JesúsD
  • 6S. MarcichD
  • 17A. MedinaM
  • 30A. CardozoM
  • 77L. BesozziM
  • 8F. WatsonM
  • 11E. SalvioM
  • 20A. WlkF
Substitutes
  • 39T. LaplaceM
  • 15R. LoaizaM
  • 42G. LobosF
  • 40Tomás LópezD
  • 10M. MorenoM
  • 3N. MorgantiniD
  • 1F. PetroliG
  • 4G. PérezD
  • 43Mateo Emanuel RamirezD
Coach: M. Pellegrino

Form going into Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0away to Platense20 September 2026
  • D1-1Velez Sarsfield11 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Rosario Central6 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Estudiantes La Plata31 August 2026
  • W2-1Banfield23 August 2026

Lanus

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Estudiantes La Plata22 September 2026
  • W3-0away to Deportivo Riestra14 September 2026
  • W1-0Defensa Y Justicia6 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Boca Juniors29 August 2026
  • D1-1Argentinos Juniors25 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Newell's Old Boys155731411+322
5Lanus157441811+725

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus

  • 17 March 2026Lanus 5–0 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 5 October 2024Newell's Old Boys 2–1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 31 January 2024Lanus 0–2 Newell's Old BoysCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 26 August 2023Newell's Old Boys 1–0 LanusCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 21 May 2023Lanus 1–0 Newell's Old BoysLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Newell's Old Boys vs Lanus record →

The result against the call

Newell's Old Boys and Lanus drew 0–0.

How the call on Newell's Old Boys v Lanus has moved

First published on 19 Sep at 30% / 28% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 34% / 32% / 34%: the biggest move is Lanus's chance of winning, down 8 points.

  1. Newell's Old Boys win34%▲ +4
  2. Draw32%▲ +4
  3. Lanus win34%▼ −8

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.