3 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman
Referee: Nicolas Ramirez, Argentina
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Atletico Tucuman 2-3 Barracas Central.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Atletico Tucuman, 36% draw, 28% Barracas Central — fair odds of 2.78, 2.78 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Atletico Tucuman at 36%: of 4,355 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.5% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Atletico Tucuman0%Draw3%Barracas Central97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Nicolás Laméndolaassist: Leonel Di Plácido
34'
Nicolás Laméndola
35'
37'
Facundo Bruera
45'
🔁Rafael Barriosout: Enzo Taborda
45'
🔁Facundo Brueraout: Nicolas Orsini
45'
🔁Rodrigo Bogarinout: Tomás Lavezzi
58'
⚽Enzo Tabordaassist: Tomás Lavezzi
🔁Leonel Di Plácidoout: Maximiliano Villa
71'
71'
Nicolás Demartini
César Leonel Vega
74'
75'
⚽Nicolas Orsiniassist: Nicolás Demartini
🔁Iván Tesuriout: Gabriel Compagnucci
77'
🔁Lautaro Godoyout: Rodrigo Granillo
77'
83'
🔁Norberto Briascoout: Esteban Rolón
87'
Marcelo Miño
90'
🔁Elías Pereyraout: Rodrigo Insua
⚽Maximiliano Villaassist: Gianluca Ferrari
90'
🔁Nicolás Laméndolaout: Ramiro Paunero
90+1'
90+3'
⚽Nicolas Orsiniassist: Tomás Lavezzi

Match stats — Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central

41%Possession59%
10Shots9
8On target5
4Corners4

Line-ups

Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
  • 1L. IngolottiG
  • 24L. Di PlácidoD
  • 6G. FerrariD
  • 36Luciano VallejoD
  • 21I. GalvánD
  • 19L. VegaM
  • 11R. TesuriM
  • 31L. GodoyM
  • 10F. NicolaM
  • 23N. LaméndolaM
  • 18R. Ruíz RodríguezF
Substitutes
  • 17J. RodríguezD
  • 22F. PimientaF
  • 4Tomas JungM
  • 30M. BrondoF
  • 3M. VillaD
  • 28G. CompagnucciD
  • 25T. DursoG
  • 5J. FernándezM
  • 27R. GranilloF
Coach: J. Falcioni
Barracas Central 5-3-2
  • 30M. MiñoG
  • 13R. BarriosD
  • 14K. JappertD
  • 15Y. RakD
  • 31N. DemartiniD
  • 17E. PereyraD
  • 28R. BogarínM
  • 5D. MilocM
  • 10I. TapiaM
  • 77F. BrueraF
  • 11N. BriascoF
Substitutes
  • 4D. MartínezD
  • 36Tomas LavezziF
  • 6R. InsúaD
  • 16Ivan GuarazM
  • 1J. EspínolaG
  • 2N. CapraroD
  • 20J. CandiaF
  • 37G. CampiD
  • 35E. RolónM
Coach: D. Ayude

Form going into Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central

Atletico Tucuman

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Aldosivi21 September 2026
  • L1-2River Plate12 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Racing Club7 September 2026
  • D0-0Belgrano Cordoba30 August 2026
  • D0-0Instituto Cordoba22 August 2026

Barracas Central

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Independiente Rivadavia21 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Banfield14 September 2026
  • D0-0Argentinos Juniors7 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Tigre1 September 2026
  • L1-2Platense23 August 2026

What these results say

  • Atletico Tucuman failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Barracas Central did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Barracas Central had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Atletico Tucuman154561415-117
6Barracas Central156541513+223

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central

  • 16 March 2026Barracas Central 2–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 29 July 2024Barracas Central 0–2 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 12 February 2024Barracas Central 2–0 Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 16 September 2023Atletico Tucuman 1–0 Barracas CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 19 March 2023Atletico Tucuman 1–1 Barracas CentralLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Atletico Tucuman vs Barracas Central record →

The result against the call

Barracas Central won 3–2 at Atletico Tucuman. The goals: Nicolás Laméndola 34' for Atletico Tucuman, Enzo Taborda 58' for Barracas Central, Nicolas Orsini 75' for Barracas Central, Maximiliano Villa 90' for Atletico Tucuman, Nicolas Orsini 90+3' for Barracas Central.

How the call on Atletico Tucuman v Barracas Central has moved

First published on 19 Sep at 40% / 31% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 36% / 36% / 28%: the biggest move is the draw, up 5 points.

  1. Atletico Tucuman win36%▼ −4
  2. Draw36%▲ +5
  3. Barracas Central win28%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.