Al Ahly vs Smouha SC Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Al Ahly 1-0 Smouha SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Al Ahly, 25% draw, 24% Smouha SC — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Ahly at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al Ahly vs Smouha SC
Al Ahly
- W2-0away to Masr28 August 2026
- W3-2Enppi23 August 2026
Smouha SC
- D0-0Asyut Petrol26 August 2026
- L0-1away to Al Masry22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Ahly | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 16 | Smouha SC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Ahly and Smouha SC
Al Ahly
- Zizo2 goals
- Marwan Attia1 goals1 assists
Smouha SC
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.