Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al Diriyah 0-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Al Diriyah, 30% draw, 38% Al-Qadisiyah FC — fair odds of 3.13, 3.33 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Saudi Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Qadisiyah FC at 38% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 22N. VasiljG
- 99C. MbembaD
- 87Q. LajamiD
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 5I. GueyeM
- 2A. Al FarajM
- 17C. DiandyM
- 20E. MillotM
- 16K. A. Al Sibyani H.M
- 14O. RodriguezF
- 29D. NunezF
- 97A. Al BukhariG
- 21M. HameranD
- 78K. Al AsiriD
- 88A. Al MalkiM
- 52H. Al QahtaniM
- 6S. Al FarhanM
- 11H. BahebriF
- 75M. Al NemerF
- 32A. Al ZaidF
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 4J. ThakriD
- 6N. FernandezD
- 17G. AlvarezD
- 2M. Abu Al ShamatM
- 15M. Al QahtaniM
- 10M. Al JuwayrM
- 5J. WeiglM
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 33J. QuinonesF
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 28A. Al KassarG
- 12Y. Al ShahraniD
- 7T. Al AmmarM
- 90A. Al YuhaybiM
- 40I. MahnashiM
- 88C. PuertasM
- 27E. HoussaM
- 9A. Al SalemF
- 77S. Harun
Form going into Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Diriyah
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Al-Ettifaq29 August 2026
Al-Qadisiyah FC
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Al-Faisaly FC30 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 15 |
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 12 | +20 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Al Diriyah and Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al Diriyah
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Al-Qadisiyah FC
GoalsAssists
- T. Reijnders83
- M. Retegui72
- J. Quiñones65
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Qadisiyah FC won 2–0 at Al Diriyah. The model had made a win for Al-Qadisiyah FC its most likely outcome, at 38%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: M. Retegui (penalty) 51' for Al-Qadisiyah FC, J. Quinones 58' for Al-Qadisiyah FC. Sent off: Óscar Rodríguez (Al Diriyah) 90+6'. On expected goals it finished 1.01–1.17.