15 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Durban City vs Richards Bay Premier Soccer League prediction & result

Chatsworth Stadium, Durban
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Durban City 1-1 Richards Bay.

Before kick-off the model made it 86% Durban City, 10% draw, 4% Richards Bay — fair odds of 1.16, 10.00 and 25.00.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Durban City at 86%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽N. Xulu
🔁T. Morrisout: L. Sifumba
46'
🔁T. Nodadaout: B. Shandu
46'
🔁K. Mofokengout: S. Maseko
46'
46'
🔁L. Khumaloout: L. Zikhali
⚽T. Sikhakhane (OG)
69'
75'
🔁S. Barnsout: S. Nzama
🔁G. Sirinoout: H. Domingo
79'
🔁J. Mokoneout: A. Doumbia
79'
81'
🔁T. Gumedeout: W. Ngema
84'
🔁N. Xuluout: N. Bomelo

Match stats — Durban City vs Richards Bay

62%Possession38%
19Shots10
5On target5
9Corners4
1.64xG0.78

Goals against chances

Durban City1 from 1.64 xGless than the chances were worth
Richards Bay1 from 0.78 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Durban City 4-2-3-1
  • 33F. AsareG
  • 12K. MofokengD
  • 5S. NcananaD
  • 27S. MsomiD
  • 24J. MokoneD
  • 17K. Jurgens
  • 23T. SangerM
  • 8G. SirinoM
  • 26T. NodadaM
  • 20J. LwambaM
  • 9T. MorrisF
Substitutes
  • 34A. Dreyer
  • 22L. de KockD
  • 7H. DomingoM
  • 35L. SifumbaM
  • 29A. DoumbiaM
  • 2B. ShanduM
  • 16L. MakuaM
  • 10S. MasekoM
  • 13S. GreenM
Coach: Khalil Ben Youssef
Richards Bay
  • 1I. OtienoG
  • 5T. SikhakhaneD
  • 15MthamosiD
  • 25S. McinekaD
  • 37S. GweleD
  • 45B. T. NashixwaM
  • 20M. MthembuM
  • 17T. GumedeM
  • 77L. KhumaloM
  • 30S. BarnsM
  • 27N. XuluF
Substitutes
  • 16N. NgcoboG
  • 22L. MabuyaM
  • 2S. JaliD
  • 19S. NzamaM
  • 8L. ZikhaliM
  • 35T. NdeluD
  • 31O. Mbambo
  • 9N. BomeloF
  • 33W. NgemaM

Form going into Durban City vs Richards Bay

Durban City

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Golden Arrows12 August 2026

Richards Bay

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Chippa United11 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Premier Soccer League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Durban City9144611-57
16Richards Bay90361123-123

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Durban City vs Richards Bay

  • 25 July 2026Durban City 1–1 Richards BayFriendlies Clubs
  • 22 March 2026Durban City 1–0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
  • 23 November 2025Richards Bay 0–0 Durban CityPremier Soccer League
  • 25 October 2025Richards Bay 3–1 Durban CityLeague Cup

Leading scorers: Durban City and Richards Bay

Durban City

No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.

Richards Bay

GoalsAssists

  • N. Xulu50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Durban City and Richards Bay drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Durban City at 86% and given a draw 10%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 10 matches like this one. The goals: N. Xulu 9' for Richards Bay, T. Sikhakhane (own goal) 69' for Durban City. On expected goals it finished 1.64–0.78.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.