14 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Guingamp vs Boulogne Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Guingamp 1-0 Boulogne.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Guingamp, 30% draw, 21% Boulogne — fair odds of 2.04, 3.33 and 4.76.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Guingamp at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Guingamp98%Draw2%Boulogne0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tom Ducrocq
12'
🔁A. Abdallahout: V. Muntu Wa Mungu
72'
🔁T. Averlantout: S. Ben Brahim
72'
🔁F. Sanchez Da Silvaout: A. Samoura
72'
72'
🔁B. Besicout: C. I. Dia
🔁T. Ducrocqout: T. Ahile
75'
77'
Cheikh Dia
🔁A. Hemiaout: J. Chamakh
78'
78'
🔁A. Platretout: A. Pinot
78'
🔁J. Bultelout: T. Epailly
⚽S. Kielt
86'
90+5'
Abdel Hbouch
90'
🔁T. Bruscoout: A. Nassiri

Match stats — Guingamp vs Boulogne

59%Possession41%
14Shots12
3On target2
3Corners4

Line-ups

Guingamp 4-4-2
  • 16A. OrtolaG
  • 2E. KoffiD
  • 7D. GomisD
  • 36A. DemouchyD
  • 29A. AbdallahD
  • 11T. AverlantM
  • 4D. LouiserreM
  • 25T. DucrocqM
  • 8F. Sanchez Da SilvaM
  • 10A. HemiaF
  • 18S. KieltF
Substitutes
  • 1T. Bartouche-SelbonneG
  • 39V. Muntu Wa Mungu
  • 24J. DiangangaD
  • 3J. MatumonaD
  • 23J. ChamakhF
  • 21T. AhileM
  • 38E. AucanM
  • 20S. Ben BrahimM
  • 17A. SamouraF
Coach: Sylvain Ripoll
Boulogne 5-3-2
  • 99B. NoukeuG
  • 21A. PlatretD
  • 18D. ThiamD
  • 25A. KerriouD
  • 20T. BruscoD
  • 12J. BoyerD
  • 19N. BinetM
  • 8J. MartinM
  • 14J. BultelM
  • 17B. BesicF
  • 10A. HbouchF
Substitutes
  • 1X. LenogueG
  • 15A. PinotD
  • 26O. LenneD
  • 4J. KapengaD
  • 28S. PaillardM
  • 7A. NassiriM
  • 64T. EpaillyF
  • 35C. I. DiaF
Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Form going into Guingamp vs Boulogne

Guingamp

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Metz8 August 2026

Boulogne

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Nancy8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Guingamp124261618-214
12Boulogne12273108+213

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Guingamp vs Boulogne

  • 3 January 2026Guingamp 3–0 BoulogneLigue 2
  • 17 October 2025Boulogne 2–2 GuingampLigue 2
  • 17 February 2012Guingamp 1–1 BoulogneLigue 2
  • 20 September 2011Boulogne 2–0 GuingampLigue 2

Leading scorers: Guingamp and Boulogne

Guingamp

GoalsAssists

  • B. Bokangu40

Boulogne

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Guingamp beat Boulogne 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Guingamp at 49%. The goal: S. Kielt 86' for Guingamp.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.