MB Rouisset
vs
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: MB Rouisset 0–1 CR Belouizdad
The model makes it 32% MB Rouisset, 29% draw, 39% CR Belouizdad — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: MB Rouisset 1.22, CR Belouizdad 1.40.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to CR Belouizdad: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- MB Rouisset are 4th on 9 points from 5 games; CR Belouizdad are top on 13 points from 5 games — Ligue 1.
- MB Rouisset have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win away to Témouchent.
- CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-2 win away to JS El Biar.
- Last 2 meetings: CR Belouizdad 1 win to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 7 March 2026, ended CR Belouizdad 3–1 MB Rouisset.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CR Belouizdad at 39% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 3,180 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad
MB Rouisset
- W2-0away to Témouchent14 October 2026
- W1-0USM Alger8 October 2026
- L0-2away to MC Alger18 September 2026
- W2-0Olympique Akbou12 September 2026
- L0-1away to JS Kabylie4 September 2026
CR Belouizdad
- W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
- W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
- W1-0away to US Biskra17 September 2026
- W1-0ES Setif11 September 2026
- D3-3away to ASO Chlef5 September 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for MB Rouisset had two goals or fewer.
- CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MB Rouisset | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 1 | CR Belouizdad | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: MB Rouisset vs CR Belouizdad
- 7 March 2026CR Belouizdad 3–1 MB RouissetLigue 1
- 3 October 2025MB Rouisset 1–1 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
The two sides
MB Rouisset carry a model rating of 6.31 against 6.52 for CR Belouizdad. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.22 goals for MB Rouisset and 1.40 for CR Belouizdad. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
MB Rouisset rate 0.52 in attack and 1.55 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; CR Belouizdad rate 0.75 and 1.44.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.22 expected goals for MB Rouisset against 1.40 for CR Belouizdad. MB Rouisset's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.55 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.44 for CR Belouizdad.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
MB Rouisset at home · CR Belouizdad away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: MB Rouisset 5, CR Belouizdad 5.
MB Rouisset score most often in the 46–60 minute window (2 goals); CR Belouizdad have let in 1 there.
CR Belouizdad score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); MB Rouisset have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
Next match, by difficulty
MB Rouisset
- at US Biskra7 Nov · Ligue 1win 42%
CR Belouizdad
- vs CS Constantine7 Nov · Ligue 1win 66%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.