MC Alger
vs
Olympique Akbou
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: MC Alger 1–0 Olympique Akbou
The model makes it 53% MC Alger, 27% draw, 20% Olympique Akbou — fair odds of 1.89, 3.70 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (13%).
Expected goals: MC Alger 1.67, Olympique Akbou 0.84.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: High.
Edge to MC Alger: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- MC Alger are 5th on 7 points from 3 games; Olympique Akbou are 8th on 7 points from 5 games — Ligue 1.
- MC Alger are unbeaten in their last 3 games (2 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to ASO Chlef.
- Olympique Akbou have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Ben Aknoun.
- Last 4 meetings: MC Alger 2 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 28 April 2026, ended MC Alger 2–1 Olympique Akbou.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou
Has the model earned this number?
It puts MC Alger at 53% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou
MC Alger
- D1-1away to ASO Chlef13 October 2026
- W1-0Témouchent9 October 2026
- W2-0MB Rouisset18 September 2026
Olympique Akbou
- W2-1Ben Aknoun16 October 2026
- D0-0away to JS Saoura8 October 2026
- L2-3USM Alger19 September 2026
- L0-2away to MB Rouisset12 September 2026
- W2-0away to JS El Biar3 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MC Alger | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 8 | Olympique Akbou | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: MC Alger vs Olympique Akbou
- 28 April 2026MC Alger 2–1 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
- 12 September 2025Olympique Akbou 0–1 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 15 April 2025Olympique Akbou 1–0 MC AlgerLigue 1
- 24 October 2024MC Alger 0–0 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
The two sides
MC Alger carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.3 for Olympique Akbou. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.67 goals for MC Alger and 0.84 for Olympique Akbou. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
MC Alger rate 0.62 in attack and 1.26 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Olympique Akbou rate 0.55 and 1.66.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives MC Alger the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.67 expected goals for MC Alger against 0.84 for Olympique Akbou. MC Alger's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.55/1.66 for Olympique Akbou.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
MC Alger at home · Olympique Akbou away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: MC Alger 3, Olympique Akbou 5.
MC Alger score most often in the 0–15 minute window (2 goals); Olympique Akbou have let in 1 there.
Olympique Akbou score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); MC Alger have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
Next match, by difficulty
MC Alger
No further matches on our board yet.
Olympique Akbou
- vs Témouchent7 Nov · Ligue 1win 53%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.