Ceramica Cleopatra
vs
Masr
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Ceramica Cleopatra 1–0 Masr
The model makes it 43% Ceramica Cleopatra, 29% draw, 28% Masr — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Ceramica Cleopatra 1.44, Masr 1.06.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Ceramica Cleopatra are 6th on 12 points from 6 games; Masr are 10th on 8 points from 6 games — Premier League.
- Ceramica Cleopatra have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Pyramids FC.
- Masr have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to El Mokawloon.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 1 win each, 4 draws; the most recent, 14 August 2025, ended Masr 0–0 Ceramica Cleopatra.
More Egyptian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ceramica Cleopatra at 43% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr
Ceramica Cleopatra
- L1-4away to Pyramids FC12 October 2026
- W2-0National Bank of Egypt14 September 2026
- W2-0away to Smouha SC8 September 2026
- W2-0Future FC2 September 2026
- W3-1away to Al Ittihad Alexandria28 August 2026
Masr
- D1-1away to El Mokawloon12 October 2026
- W2-1Olympic El Qanah17 September 2026
- L1-2away to Enppi9 September 2026
- W1-0away to El Geish1 September 2026
- L0-2Al Ahly28 August 2026
What these results say
- Ceramica Cleopatra scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Ceramica Cleopatra won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Masr scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Masr conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 12 |
| 10 | Masr | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Ceramica Cleopatra
Chance to finish in the top four · 49% today
Masr
Chance to finish in the top four · 8% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Ceramica Cleopatra vs Masr
- 14 August 2025Masr 0–0 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
- 17 April 2025Masr 1–4 Ceramica CleopatraLeague Cup
- 12 February 2025Masr 1–1 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
- 21 August 2024Ceramica Cleopatra 0–3 MasrCup
- 18 August 2024Masr 2–2 Ceramica CleopatraPremier League
- 3 April 2024Ceramica Cleopatra 1–1 MasrPremier League
Leading scorers: Ceramica Cleopatra and Masr
Ceramica Cleopatra
GoalsAssists
- Mohamed Reda22
- Ahmed Belhadji22
Masr
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Ceramica Cleopatra carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.37 for Masr. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.44 goals for Ceramica Cleopatra and 1.06 for Masr. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Ceramica Cleopatra rate 0.79 in attack and 1.61 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Masr rate 0.62 and 1.62.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Ceramica Cleopatra a 3.2% chance of the title and Masr 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ceramica Cleopatra the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.44 expected goals for Ceramica Cleopatra against 1.06 for Masr. Ceramica Cleopatra's attack/defence rating is 0.79/1.61 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.62 for Masr.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Ceramica Cleopatra at home · Masr away
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Ceramica Cleopatra 6, Masr 6.
Masr score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Ceramica Cleopatra have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Ceramica Cleopatra
- at Enppi25 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 45%
- vs El Mokawloon8 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 42%
- at Wadi Degla15 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 39%
- vs Al Ahly24 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 28%
Masr
- vs Abu Qair Semad24 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 48%
- at Asyut Petrol10 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 39%
- vs Petrojet14 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 39%
- at Al Ittihad Alexandria24 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 32%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.