Macva vs Mladost Lucani Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Macva 1-2 Mladost Lucani.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Macva, 32% draw, 29% Mladost Lucani — fair odds of 2.56, 3.13 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Serbian SuperLiga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Macva at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Macva vs Mladost Lucani
Line-ups
- 89V. JovanovićG
- 4V. IlicD
- 19I. RistivojevićD
- 15S. SladojevićD
- 44N. StevanovićD
- 22K. TojčićM
- 8B. VraštanovićM
- 10M. ErgelašM
- 30Đorđe ĐorđićM
- 27L. PejovićM
- 99N. DelibasicF
- 33U. BlagojevićD
- 55S. ČolovićM
- 21Vasilije ĐurićM
- 26U. DrezgićD
- 17N. LainovićD
- 5Darko TerzićM
- 12K. RakonicG
- 11V. RakićM
- 50B. MatićF
- 1S. StamenkovićG
- 17A. VarjačićD
- 7N. AndrićD
- 30N. ĆirkovićD
- 33V. JovanovićD
- 37F. MladenovićD
- 88Vasil TasovskiM
- 29D. JovančićM
- 5V. KijevčaninM
- 22JoãoM
- 9Petar BojićF
- 77M. KerkezM
- 24V. MarkovićM
- 99Ž. SamčovićG
- 32B. JovičićM
- 12M. JoksimovićD
- 39J. UzuegbunamF
- 36D. DjokicM
- 44M. CvetkovićD
- 25J. ĆirićM
Form going into Macva vs Mladost Lucani
Macva
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Železničar Pančevo11 September 2026
- D0-0Radnicki 19235 September 2026
- D1-1away to Novi Pazar29 August 2026
- W1-0Radnicki NIS22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radnik Surdulica15 August 2026
Mladost Lucani
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to Radnicki 192312 September 2026
- W1-0Radnicki NIS5 September 2026
- L0-2away to IMT Novi Beograd30 August 2026
- W3-1FK Partizan23 August 2026
- W1-0away to Zemun16 August 2026
What these results say
- Macva failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Macva had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Macva | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13 |
| 9 | Mladost Lucani | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Macva vs Mladost Lucani
- 5 July 2026Mladost Lucani 2–1 MacvaFriendlies Clubs
- 6 April 2021Macva 0–2 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
- 17 October 2020Mladost Lucani 2–1 MacvaSuper Liga
- 7 June 2020Mladost Lucani 2–1 MacvaSuper Liga
- 26 October 2019Macva 0–1 Mladost LucaniSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Macva and Mladost Lucani
Macva
GoalsAssists
- M. Vidakov40
Mladost Lucani
GoalsAssists
- Vasil Tasovski40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mladost Lucani won 2–1 at Macva. The model had leaned towards a win for Macva at 39% and given a win for Mladost Lucani 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Nikša Delibašić 29' for Macva, Jovan ciric (penalty) 65' for Mladost Lucani, Vasil Tašovski 83' for Mladost Lucani.
How the call on Macva v Mladost Lucani has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 38% / 35% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 12 updates, it read 39% / 32% / 29%: the biggest move is the draw, down 3 points.
- Macva win39%▲ +1
- Draw32%▼ −3
- Mladost Lucani win29%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.