20 September 2026, 17:00 UTC

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
Full time3 – 0

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Radnicki NIS.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% FK Crvena Zvezda, 29% draw, 22% Radnicki NIS — fair odds of 2.04, 3.45 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Crvena Zvezda at 49%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Crvena Zvezda99%Draw1%Radnicki NIS0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Tomas·Handel
8'
Mohammad Abu Fani
24'
⚽Marko Arnautovićassist: Loizos Loizou
29'
Matej Gashtarov
34'
⚽Mohammad Abu Faniassist: Marko Arnautović
38'
45+1'
stefan nikolic
45'
🔁Aleksandar Vidovicout: Issah Abass
45'
🔁stefan nikolicout: dorde petrovic
⚽Tomas·Handelassist: Aleksandar Katai
49'
🔁Aleksandar Kataiout: Mirko Ivanić
59'
🔁Tomas·Handelout: Mihailo Ristić
60'
🔁Matej Strikaout: Vasilije Kostov
60'
🔁Marko Arnautovićout: Bamba Dieng
61'
61'
🔁Ibrahim·Mustaphaout: Igor Ivanović
66'
Uroš Vitas
74'
🔁A. Shestyukout: Miloš Rošević
🔁Loizos Loizouout: Kim Ye-geon
77'

Match stats — FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS

71%Possession29%
25Shots8
12On target2
7Corners3

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 3-2-4-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 3Y. NakayamaD
  • 13M. VeljkovićD
  • 60M. GashtarovD
  • 15M. Abu FaniM
  • 27M. StrikaM
  • 75L. LoizouM
  • 20Tomás HändelM
  • 21T. ElšnikM
  • 10A. KataiM
  • 7M. ArnautovićF
Substitutes
  • 6M. BajoM
  • 8K. BalovF
  • 14O. BukariF
  • 70M. ChamM
  • 9B. DiengF
  • 4M. IvanićM
  • 19Kim Ye-geonM
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 37V. LučićM
Coach: Riera
Radnicki NIS 4-2-3-1
  • 12I. KostićG
  • 18S. VeličkovićD
  • 4U. VitasD
  • 3R. JokićD
  • 20A. VidovićD
  • 22R. MilosavljevićM
  • 15D. KrajišnikM
  • 70Stefan NikolicM
  • 89Luka IzdericM
  • 23I. MustaphaM
  • 9A. ShestyukF
Substitutes
  • 5N. ZečevićD
  • 94D. StanivukovićG
  • 71D. PetrovićD
  • 2M. MijailovićD
  • 6F. KanoutéM
  • 42V. JovanovićF
  • 11I. IvanovićF
  • 28G. AriyibiF
  • 17Luka BorovicM
Coach: M. Nedic

Form going into FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS

FK Crvena Zvezda

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Železničar Pančevo17 September 2026
  • W1-0away to IMT Novi Beograd13 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Radnik Surdulica10 September 2026
  • W2-1FK Partizan6 September 2026
  • W2-0away to Zemun30 August 2026

Radnicki NIS

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1OFK Beograd13 September 2026
  • L0-1away to Mladost Lucani5 September 2026
  • D1-1Radnicki 192329 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Macva22 August 2026
  • D0-0away to IMT Novi Beograd16 August 2026

What these results say

  • FK Crvena Zvezda went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Radnicki NIS failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Radnicki NIS conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Radnicki NIS had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FK Crvena Zvezda151410386+3243
13Radnicki NIS1422101025-158

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Radnicki NIS

  • 21 March 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 2–0 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
  • 26 October 2025Radnicki NIS 0–0 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 8 March 2025Radnicki NIS 0–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 18 October 2024FK Crvena Zvezda 5–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
  • 13 March 2024Radnicki NIS 0–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: FK Crvena Zvezda and Radnicki NIS

FK Crvena Zvezda

GoalsAssists

  • B. Dieng50
  • V. Kostov43
  • A. Katai34

Radnicki NIS

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FK Crvena Zvezda beat Radnicki NIS 3–0. The model had made a win for FK Crvena Zvezda its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Marko Arnautović 29' for FK Crvena Zvezda, Mohammad Abu Fani 38' for FK Crvena Zvezda, Tomas·Handel 49' for FK Crvena Zvezda.

How the call on FK Crvena Zvezda v Radnicki NIS has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 72% / 17% / 11% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 13 updates, it read 49% / 29% / 22%: the biggest move is FK Crvena Zvezda's chance of winning, down 23 points.

  1. FK Crvena Zvezda win49%▼ −23
  2. Draw29%▲ +12
  3. Radnicki NIS win22%▲ +11

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.