Levadiakos
vs
Volos NFC
Super League 1 prediction
Our model says: Levadiakos 2–1 Volos NFC
The model makes it 45% Levadiakos, 28% draw, 27% Volos NFC — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Levadiakos 1.84, Volos NFC 1.14.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Levadiakos are bottom on 1 point from 5 games; Volos NFC are 13th on 2 points from 5 games — Super League 1.
- Levadiakos have not won in their last 5, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Olympiakos Piraeus.
- Volos NFC have not won in their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to AEK Athens FC.
- Last 6 meetings: Levadiakos 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 10 May 2026, ended Volos NFC 0–3 Levadiakos.
All Greek Super League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Levadiakos vs Volos NFC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Levadiakos at 45% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Levadiakos vs Volos NFC
Levadiakos
- L0-1Olympiakos Piraeus20 September 2026
- D0-0away to Kifisia13 September 2026
- L0-2Panetolikos6 September 2026
- L0-2Panathinaikos31 August 2026
- L0-4away to PAOK23 August 2026
Volos NFC
- L1-2AEK Athens FC20 September 2026
- L1-3away to Kalamata13 September 2026
- D1-1Olympiakos Piraeus5 September 2026
- D1-1Iraklis 190829 August 2026
- L0-2away to OFI23 August 2026
What these results say
- Levadiakos did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Levadiakos failed to score in every one of these 5 matches.
- Levadiakos conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Volos NFC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Levadiakos | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | -9 | 1 |
| 13 | Volos NFC | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Levadiakos vs Volos NFC
- 10 May 2026Volos NFC 0–3 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 3 May 2026Levadiakos 5–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 11 January 2026Levadiakos 3–1 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 24 November 2025Volos NFC 1–2 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 22 May 2025Levadiakos 3–2 Volos NFCSuper League 1
- 12 April 2025Volos NFC 1–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: Levadiakos and Volos NFC
Levadiakos
No league goals yet this season.
Volos NFC
- M. González2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Levadiakos carry a model rating of 6.51 against 6.36 for Volos NFC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.84 goals for Levadiakos and 1.14 for Volos NFC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Levadiakos rate 0.75 in attack and 1.49 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Volos NFC rate 0.64 and 1.70.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Volos NFC, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Levadiakos the highest probability at 45%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.84 expected goals for Levadiakos against 1.14 for Volos NFC. Levadiakos's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.49 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.7 for Volos NFC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Levadiakos at home · Volos NFC away
League matches only, Super League 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super League 1 matches this season: Levadiakos 5, Volos NFC 5.
Volos NFC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Levadiakos have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Levadiakos
- at Asteras Tripolis24 Oct · Super League 1win 34%
- vs Aris Thessalonikis31 Oct · Super League 1win 36%
- at AEK Athens FC7 Nov · Super League 1win 13%
- vs Atromitos21 Nov · Super League 1win 36%
Volos NFC
- vs Panathinaikos24 Oct · Super League 1win 17%
- at Atromitos31 Oct · Super League 1win 24%
- vs Kifisia7 Nov · Super League 1win 34%
- at Panetolikos21 Nov · Super League 1win 27%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.