4 September 2026, 18:00 UTC

Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade Marcel Tribut, Dunkerque
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Dunkerque 1-1 Clermont Foot.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Dunkerque, 28% draw, 29% Clermont Foot — fair odds of 2.33, 3.57 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dunkerque at 43% here. Across 3,039 settled matches (as of 5 October 2026), 1,415 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dunkerque5%Draw92%Clermont Foot3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
Julien Astic
36'
Ousmane Diop
⚽O. Sanganteassist: A. Lebeau
38'
🔁E. Mayillaout: S. Keita
57'
61'
🔁A. Hunouout: J. Sambia
61'
🔁N. Strotzout: R. Kouame
61'
🔁J. Asticout: F. Bianchini
69'
⚽C. Okouassist: V. Nsimba
🔁E. Prutsevout: P. M. Dieng
70'
75'
🔁O. Diopout: E. Cantero
Théna Massock
79'
🔁K. Ayariout: B. Lagae
81'
🔁J. Morelout: S. N'Zonzi
81'
90'
🔁C. Okouout: J. Nyindong Tsamouna

Match stats — Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot

38%Possession62%
17Shots14
2On target3
2Corners7

Line-ups

Dunkerque 4-2-3-1
  • 73MohaG
  • 27A. LinguetD
  • 26O. SanganteD
  • 22V. MayelaD
  • 24L. VallierD
  • 6J. MorelM
  • 18T. MassockM
  • 7K. AyariM
  • 10A. LebeauM
  • 11E. PrutsevM
  • 94E. MayillaF
Substitutes
  • 36M. SissokhoG
  • 4B. LagaeD
  • 2O. ToureD
  • 15S. N'ZonziM
  • 21L. Dziki LoussilahoD
  • 19S. KeitaM
  • 25F. AtoenM
  • 17P. M. DiengM
  • 33N. NemorinF
Coach: Albert Sanchez
Clermont Foot 4-1-4-1
  • 30T. GuivarchG
  • 93I. CoulibalyD
  • 21Y. SalmierD
  • 4E. KabeyaD
  • 12V. NsimbaD
  • 5J. GrillotM
  • 17O. DiopM
  • 23A. HunouM
  • 13J. AsticM
  • 18N. StrotzM
  • 90C. OkouF
Substitutes
  • 16M. N'DiayeG
  • 10J. SambiaD
  • 6E. H. KoneM
  • 28I. M'BahiaD
  • 26R. KouameM
  • 7F. BianchiniF
  • 77E. CanteroF
  • 29A. SaintorensF
  • 39J. Nyindong TsamounaF
Coach: David Guion

Form going into Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot

Dunkerque

  • L0-2away to Nancy28 August 2026
  • L0-1Montpellier21 August 2026

Clermont Foot

  • D0-0Sochaux28 August 2026
  • D1-1Dijon21 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Dunkerque72231012-28
16Clermont Foot706146-26

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dunkerque vs Clermont Foot

  • 27 February 2026Clermont Foot 2–1 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 9 August 2025Dunkerque 2–2 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • 21 February 2025Dunkerque 3–0 Clermont FootLigue 2
  • 13 September 2024Clermont Foot 0–1 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 16 January 2021Clermont Foot 5–0 DunkerqueLigue 2
  • 29 August 2020Dunkerque 1–1 Clermont FootLigue 2

Leading scorers: Dunkerque and Clermont Foot

Dunkerque

  • E. Prutsev2 goals1 assist
  • S. Keita2 goals1 assist

Clermont Foot

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.