Dijon vs PAU Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Dijon 0-1 PAU.
Before kick-off the model made it 74% Dijon, 15% draw, 11% PAU — fair odds of 1.35, 6.67 and 9.09.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Dijon at 74%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dijon vs PAU
Line-ups
- 16P. DelecroixG
- 93I. BouleghchaD
- 23L. LacroixD
- 5Q. BernardD
- 42Y. AkaD
- 8P. BellonM
- 14J. MarieM
- 4M. BarretoM
- 18B. NdeziM
- 29A. NtamackF
- 10Y. BarkaF
- 46I. Marie-RoseG
- 15A. BargainD
- 6W. DioufD
- 20H. Vargas-RiosM
- 21S. ChouchaneM
- 17A. LembezatM
- 30H. MimouneM
- 11J. TavaresF
- 9T. DongF
- 1B. MaubleuG
- 2T. PouillyD
- 4A. DodoteD
- 88A. BambaD
- 29G. PaquiezD
- 3J. KaluluD
- 6C. FallM
- 21J. BenetM
- 19T. SaettelM
- 10G. VersiniF
- 11A. LefebvreF
- 30E. SallesG
- 23A. BrianconD
- 39M. TourraineD
- 8S. BasseD
- 27L. GadegbekuM
- 5L. RajotM
- 9B. LeyeF
- 7H. BenaliF
- 14R. Openda
Form going into Dijon vs PAU
Dijon
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Montpellier8 August 2026
PAU
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Annecy8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dijon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 18 |
| 5 | PAU | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 13 | +3 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dijon vs PAU
- 18 March 2023Dijon 0–1 PAULigue 2
- 6 August 2022PAU 0–0 DijonLigue 2
- 12 February 2022Dijon 0–1 PAULigue 2
- 28 August 2021PAU 2–0 DijonLigue 2
Leading scorers: Dijon and PAU
Dijon
GoalsAssists
- Júlio Tavares51
- Y. Barka40
PAU
GoalsAssists
- B. Leye41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
PAU won 1–0 at Dijon. The model had leaned towards a win for Dijon at 74% and given a win for PAU 11%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 9 matches like this one. The goal: B. Leye 61' for PAU.