Wolfsberger AC
vs
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Wolfsberger AC 1–0 WSG Wattens
The model makes it 39% Wolfsberger AC, 29% draw, 32% WSG Wattens — fair odds of 2.56, 3.45 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Wolfsberger AC 1.50, WSG Wattens 1.22.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: Low.
Published
Key facts
- Wolfsberger AC are 11th on 5 points from 7 games; WSG Wattens are 7th on 8 points from 7 games — Bundesliga.
- Wolfsberger AC have not won in their last 5, most recently a 1-4 defeat away to Ried.
- WSG Wattens have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Rapid Vienna.
- Last 6 meetings: WSG Wattens 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 16 May 2026, ended Wolfsberger AC 2–0 WSG Wattens.
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Wolfsberger AC at 39% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 2,372 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens
Wolfsberger AC
- L1-4away to Ried20 September 2026
- L0-3Rapid Vienna12 September 2026
- L1-3Lask Linz1 September 2026
- D0-0away to Grazer AK29 August 2026
- L1-2away to Austria Lustenau15 August 2026
WSG Wattens
- L0-3away to Rapid Vienna18 September 2026
- D2-2TSV Hartberg13 September 2026
- W1-0away to Austria Vienna2 September 2026
- W4-0away to Austria Lustenau28 August 2026
- L0-3Red Bull Salzburg16 August 2026
What these results say
- Wolfsberger AC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Wolfsberger AC had three goals or more.
- 4 of these 5 matches for WSG Wattens had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wolfsberger AC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens
- 16 May 2026Wolfsberger AC 2–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 4 April 2026WSG Wattens 3–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 2 November 2025Wolfsberger AC 0–0 WSG WattensBundesliga
- 31 August 2025WSG Wattens 1–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 22 February 2025WSG Wattens 3–3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 29 September 2024Wolfsberger AC 1–3 WSG WattensBundesliga
Leading scorers: Wolfsberger AC and WSG Wattens
Wolfsberger AC
- G. Vrioni4 goals
WSG Wattens
- M. Olakigbe2 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Wolfsberger AC carry a model rating of 6.27 against 6.28 for WSG Wattens. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.50 goals for Wolfsberger AC and 1.22 for WSG Wattens. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Wolfsberger AC rate 0.52 in attack and 1.66 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; WSG Wattens rate 0.57 and 1.78.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour WSG Wattens, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Wolfsberger AC the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.50 expected goals for Wolfsberger AC against 1.22 for WSG Wattens. Wolfsberger AC's attack/defence rating is 0.52/1.66 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.57/1.78 for WSG Wattens.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Wolfsberger AC at home · WSG Wattens away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: Wolfsberger AC 7, WSG Wattens 7.
WSG Wattens score most often in the 61–75 minute window (3 goals); Wolfsberger AC have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Wolfsberger AC
- at TSV Hartberg25 Oct · Bundesligawin 27%
- vs Sturm Graz1 Nov · Bundesligawin 27%
- at Rapid Vienna6 Nov · Bundesligawin 18%
- vs Ried22 Nov · Bundesligawin 36%
WSG Wattens
- vs Grazer AK24 Oct · Bundesligawin 40%
- at Lask Linz31 Oct · Bundesligawin 17%
- vs Austria Vienna8 Nov · Bundesligawin 36%
- vs Austria Lustenau21 Nov · Bundesligawin 41%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.