Red Bull Salzburg
vs
SCR Altach
Bundesliga prediction
Our model says: Red Bull Salzburg 2–0 SCR Altach
The model makes it 61% Red Bull Salzburg, 24% draw, 15% SCR Altach — fair odds of 1.64, 4.17 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Red Bull Salzburg 2.39, SCR Altach 0.67.
Both teams to score: 45%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: High.
Published
Key facts
- Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd on 17 points from 7 games; SCR Altach are bottom on 3 points from 7 games — Bundesliga.
- Red Bull Salzburg are unbeaten in their last 5 (4 won), most recently a 3-0 win at home to Sturm Graz.
- SCR Altach have not won in their last 5, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Austria Lustenau.
- Last 6 meetings: Red Bull Salzburg 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 4 March 2026, ended Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 SCR Altach.
All Austrian Bundesliga predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Red Bull Salzburg at 61% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 705 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach
Red Bull Salzburg
- W3-0Sturm Graz20 September 2026
- D1-1away to Ried11 September 2026
- W5-1Rapid Vienna2 September 2026
- W4-1Austria Vienna30 August 2026
- W3-0away to WSG Wattens16 August 2026
SCR Altach
- L0-2away to Austria Lustenau19 September 2026
- L1-2Grazer AK12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Lask Linz29 August 2026
- L1-2TSV Hartberg22 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sturm Graz15 August 2026
What these results say
- Red Bull Salzburg went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Red Bull Salzburg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Red Bull Salzburg won 4 of these 5 matches.
- SCR Altach did not win any of these 5 matches.
- SCR Altach conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 4 | +14 | 17 |
| 12 | SCR Altach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach
- 4 March 2026Red Bull Salzburg 0–1 SCR AltachCup
- 30 November 2025SCR Altach 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 19 October 2025Red Bull Salzburg 2–2 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 9 March 2025SCR Altach 1–1 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
- 19 October 2024Red Bull Salzburg 2–1 SCR AltachBundesliga
- 28 October 2023Red Bull Salzburg 3–0 SCR AltachBundesliga
Leading scorers: Red Bull Salzburg and SCR Altach
Red Bull Salzburg
- K. Konaté4 goals
- H. Tabaković3 goals
- Y. Vertessen2 goals1 assist
SCR Altach
No player in Bundesliga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Red Bull Salzburg carry a model rating of 6.76 against 6.25 for SCR Altach. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 2.39 goals for Red Bull Salzburg and 0.67 for SCR Altach. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Red Bull Salzburg rate 0.92 in attack and 1.10 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; SCR Altach rate 0.47 and 1.60.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Red Bull Salzburg a 39.8% chance of the title and SCR Altach 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Red Bull Salzburg the highest probability at 61%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.39 expected goals for Red Bull Salzburg against 0.67 for SCR Altach. Red Bull Salzburg's attack/defence rating is 0.92/1.1 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.6 for SCR Altach.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Red Bull Salzburg at home · SCR Altach away
League matches only, Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Bundesliga matches this season: Red Bull Salzburg 7, SCR Altach 7.
Red Bull Salzburg score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); SCR Altach have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Red Bull Salzburg
- at Celje22 Oct · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 36%
- at Lask Linz25 Oct · Bundesligawin 34%
- vs Austria Lustenau1 Nov · Bundesligawin 63%
SCR Altach
- vs Austria Vienna23 Oct · Bundesligawin 34%
- vs Ried31 Oct · Bundesligawin 34%
- at TSV Hartberg8 Nov · Bundesligawin 25%
- vs Sturm Graz22 Nov · Bundesligawin 26%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.