Lanus vs Argentinos Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Lanus 1-1 Argentinos Juniors.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% Lanus, 19% draw, 21% Argentinos Juniors — fair odds of 1.67, 5.26 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Lanus at 60%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lanus vs Argentinos Juniors
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 26N. LosadaG
- 33T. GuidaraD
- 24C. IzquierdozD
- 35R. De JesusD
- 6S. MarcichD
- 4G. PerezM
- 5F. Pena BiaforeM
- 11E. SalvioM
- 8F. N. WatsonM
- 25D. AquinoM
- 20A. WlkF
- 1F. PetroliG
- 39T. LaplaceM
- 3N. MorgantiniD
- 27F. SanchezD
- 40T. LopezD
- 13J. CanaleD
- 16M. SepulvedaM
- 17A. MedinaM
- 19Y. ValoisF
- 25B. CortesG
- 22K. CoronelD
- 16F. AlvarezD
- 6F. VazquezD
- 26C. BravoD
- 10A. LescanoM
- 15K. GutierrezM
- 11N. OrozM
- 8H. LopezF
- 27T. MolinaF
- 47D. PorcelF
- 12G. Siri PayerG
- 37T. Gomez
- 4E. GodoyD
- 30A. NunezD
- 5F. CarrizoD
- 21G. FlorentinM
- 35A. AlcarazF
- 7I. MoralesF
- 9G. VeronF
Form going into Lanus vs Argentinos Juniors
Lanus
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Independiente17 August 2026
- W3-0away to Talleres Cordoba12 August 2026
- L1-2away to Union Santa Fe6 August 2026
- L0-1Instituto Cordoba3 August 2026
- W1-0San Lorenzo26 July 2026
Argentinos Juniors
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to River Plate16 August 2026
- W2-1Racing Club9 August 2026
- W1-0away to Belgrano Cordoba1 August 2026
- W3-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 July 2026
- W3-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 July 2026
What these results say
- Lanus scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Argentinos Juniors scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lanus | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 12 | +7 | 26 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lanus vs Argentinos Juniors
- 10 May 2026Argentinos Juniors 2–0 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 March 2026Argentinos Juniors 2–1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 September 2025Argentinos Juniors 1–0 LanusCopa Argentina
- 30 July 2024Argentinos Juniors 2–0 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
- 21 March 2023Lanus 0–0 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 October 2022Lanus 0–4 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
The result against the call
Lanus and Argentinos Juniors drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Lanus at 60% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: F. Pena Biafore 70' for Lanus, G. Veron 74' for Argentinos Juniors. On expected goals it finished 1.50–0.58.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.