24 August 2026, 00:30 UTC

Racing Club vs Boca Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Avellaneda
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Racing Club 1-1 Boca Juniors.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Racing Club, 24% draw, 38% Boca Juniors — fair odds of 2.63, 4.17 and 2.63.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Racing Club at 38%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Racing Club5%Draw91%Boca Juniors4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
A. Costa
⚽M. Rojo (pen)
9'
M. Martinez
10'
28'
⚽Miguel Merentielassist: L. Flores
E. Cannavo
41'
46'
🔁A. Costaout: F. Herrera
🔁G. A. Lodicoout: M. Zaracho
55'
🔁E. Torresout: F. Fraga
55'
55'
🔁M. Delgadoout: T. Belmonte
62'
🔁L. Floresout: S. Villa
🔁M. Miljevicout: D. Vergara
73'
🔁T. Conechnyout: A. Campo
73'
75'
T. Belmonte
🔁I. Rodriguezout: Pacha
76'
77'
🔁Miguel Merentielout: E. Valencia
77'
🔁C. Rey Domenechout: A. Velasco
L. Perez
79'

Match stats — Racing Club vs Boca Juniors

51%Possession49%
14Shots15
5On target2
4Corners1
1.28xG0.96

Goals against chances

Racing Club1 from 1.28 xGabout what the chances were worth
Boca Juniors1 from 0.96 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Racing Club 4-2-3-1
  • 25F. CambesesG
  • 4E. CannavoD
  • 38M. MartinezD
  • 6M. RojoD
  • 19I. RodriguezD
  • 16U. OrtegozaM
  • 33L. PerezM
  • 17T. ConechnyM
  • 10M. MiljevicM
  • 20G. A. LodicoM
  • 22E. TorresF
Substitutes
  • 30M. TagliamonteG
  • 18PachaD
  • 43G. EscuderoD
  • 15G. N. Martirena TorresD
  • 34T. RubioD
  • 5M. KranevitterM
  • 46A. TelloM
  • 11M. ZarachoM
  • 28S. SolariF
Coach: Gustavo Costas
Boca Juniors 4-3-3
  • 1A. MonteroG
  • 24D. GorositoD
  • 4J. FigalD
  • 32A. CostaD
  • 3L. BlancoD
  • 25S. AscacibarM
  • 23C. Rey DomenechM
  • 18M. DelgadoM
  • 19L. FloresF
  • 16Miguel MerentielF
  • 10T. ArandaF
Substitutes
  • 30J. GarciaG
  • 12L. BreyG
  • 42F. HerreraD
  • 8T. BelmonteM
  • 21K. ZenonM
  • 7Carlos PalaciosF
  • 15W. H. Alarcon CepedaM
  • 11Angel RomeroF
  • 13E. ValenciaF
Coach: Rodolfo Arruabarrena

Form going into Racing Club vs Boca Juniors

Racing Club

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Banfield14 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors9 August 2026
  • L1-3Tigre1 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Rosario Central29 July 2026
  • W2-1Gimnasia La Plata24 July 2026

Boca Juniors

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Platense16 August 2026
  • D1-1Velez Sarsfield8 August 2026
  • W1-0Estudiantes La Plata5 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Newell's Old Boys2 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Deportivo Riestra26 July 2026

What these results say

  • Racing Club failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Racing Club conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Boca Juniors failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Boca Juniors scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Boca Juniors conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Racing Club164391624-815
2Boca Juniors169612414+1033

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Racing Club vs Boca Juniors

  • 20 February 2026Boca Juniors 0–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 December 2025Boca Juniors 0–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 August 2025Boca Juniors 1–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 February 2025Racing Club 2–0 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 September 2024Racing Club 2–1 Boca JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 11 March 2024Boca Juniors 4–2 Racing ClubCopa de la Liga Profesional

The full Racing Club vs Boca Juniors record →

Leading scorers: Racing Club and Boca Juniors

Racing Club

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Boca Juniors

GoalsAssists

  • M. Merentiel92

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Racing Club and Boca Juniors drew 1–1. The goals: M. Rojo (penalty) 9' for Racing Club, Miguel Merentiel 28' for Boca Juniors. On expected goals it finished 1.28–0.96.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.