23 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. Süper Lig prediction & result

Izmir
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Final score: Göztepe 0-1 Gençlerbirliği S.K..

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Göztepe, 20% draw, 43% Gençlerbirliği S.K. — fair odds of 2.70, 5.00 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gençlerbirliği S.K. at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Göztepe0%Draw6%Gençlerbirliği S.K.94%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Alex Matos
43'
🔁Allan Godoiout: E. Yildirim
45+3'
🔁A. Matosout: Rhaldney
46'
🔁S. Armstrongout: Juan
46'
🔁E. Bekirogluout: Janderson
46'
48'
Dimitris Goutas
⚽Malcom Bokele (pen)
50'
51'
⚽S. Koitaassist: O. Ulgun
61'
🔁T. Gouveiaout: C. Niasse
🔁O. Bayrakout: R. Akonnor
64'
72'
🔁A. Dursunout: F. Uzum
72'
🔁O. Ulgunout: S. Ucan
79'
Cheikh Niasse
85'
🔁S. Koitaout: M. Baltaci

Match stats — Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

51%Possession49%
16Shots10
6On target2
7Corners5
2xG1.52

Goals against chances

Göztepe0 from 2.00 xGless than the chances were worth
Gençlerbirliği S.K.1 from 1.52 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Göztepe 3-4-1-2
  • 25L. GugeshashviliG
  • 4T. AltikardesD
  • 3Allan GodoiD
  • 26M. BokeleD
  • 2A. KurtulanM
  • 6A. MatosM
  • 20N. MiroshiM
  • 16O. BayrakM
  • 10E. BekirogluF
  • 7Andre HenriqueF
  • 22S. ArmstrongF
Substitutes
  • 1A. OzcimenG
  • 33S. OzturkG
  • 13E. YildirimD
  • 5RhaldneyM
  • 12R. Akonnor
  • 9JuanF
  • 17G. BayrakdarF
  • 39JandersonF
  • 14B. BokeF
Coach: Stanimir Stoilov
Gençlerbirliği S.K. 4-1-4-1
  • 70I. EgribayatG
  • 13P. PereiraD
  • 6D. GoutasD
  • 4Z. ZuzekD
  • 77A. DursunD
  • 42O. DiabateM
  • 14A. TraoreM
  • 35O. UlgunM
  • 10F. TongyaM
  • 7T. GouveiaM
  • 20S. KoitaF
Substitutes
  • 23G. AkkanG
  • 90M. BaltaciD
  • 2Thalisson KelvenD
  • 88F. UzumD
  • 3H. AydarD
  • 8E. KemalogluM
  • 48S. UcanM
  • 19C. NiasseM
  • 45P. MartorF
Coach: Ozcan Bizati

Form going into Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Göztepe

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3away to Samsunspor17 August 2026

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Fenerbahçe15 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Göztepe114342219+315
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.113261221-911

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K.

  • 4 April 2026Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–2 GöztepeSüper Lig
  • 1 November 2025Göztepe 1–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.Süper Lig
  • 28 April 2024Göztepe 2–0 Gençlerbirliği S.K.1. Lig
  • 10 December 2023Gençlerbirliği S.K. 0–3 Göztepe1. Lig
  • 5 February 2023Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1–0 Göztepe1. Lig

The full Göztepe vs Gençlerbirliği S.K. record →

Leading scorers: Göztepe and Gençlerbirliği S.K.

Göztepe

GoalsAssists

  • Juan71
  • André Henrique41

Gençlerbirliği S.K.

No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Gençlerbirliği S.K. won 1–0 at Göztepe. The model had made a win for Gençlerbirliği S.K. its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: S. Koita 51' for Gençlerbirliği S.K.. On expected goals it finished 2.00–1.52.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.