25 August 2026, 10:30 UTC

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers K League 1 prediction & result

Jeju World Cup Stadium, Seogwipo
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Jeju United FC 1-2 Pohang Steelers.

Before kick-off the model made it 90% Jeju United FC, 7% draw, 3% Pohang Steelers — fair odds of 1.11, 14.29 and 33.33.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Jeju United FC at 90%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Jeju United FC0%Draw1%Pohang Steelers99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
⚽Won Ki-Jongassist: Hwang Seo-Woong
44'
Sang-hyeok Cho
🔁T. Figueiredoout: Lee Chang-Min
46'
🔁Park Chang-Junout: Matheus Aias
46'
46'
🔁Cho Sang-Hyeokout: Jorge Teixeira
49'
⚽K. Nishiyaassist: Kim Dong-Jin
🔁Jo In-jungout: Shin Sang-Eun
58'
🔁out: Park Su-bin
64'
72'
🔁Won Ki-Jongout: Kim Seung-Ho
72'
🔁Ki Sung-Yuengout: J. da Rocha Junior
77'
🔁Hwang Seo-Woongout: Jin Si-woo
🔁Kim Shin-Jinout: S. Yoo
78'
80'
Juninho Rocha
87'
🔁K. Nishiyaout: Kang Min-Jun
⚽J. Celestineassist: Park Min-jae
90'

Line-ups

Jeju United FC 3-4-3
  • 1Kim Dong-JunG
  • 2T. FigueiredoD
  • 6Kwon Gi-minD
  • 3J. CelestineD
  • 47Park Min-jaeM
  • 5ItaloM
  • 7Park Chang-JunM
  • 88Jo In-jungM
  • 24Choi Byung-wookF
  • 18Kim Shin-JinF
  • 94Emerson NeguebaF
Substitutes
  • 8Lee Chang-MinM
  • 9Matheus AiasF
  • 11Shin Sang-EunF
  • 13Jeong WoonD
  • 20M. JangD
  • 33Park Su-binM
  • 41Kim Jae-WooD
  • 77S. YooM
  • 81J. HeoG
Coach: Sergio Costa
Pohang Steelers 4-3-3
  • 29Hong Sung-minG
  • 2Eo Jeong-WonD
  • 20Park Chan-YongD
  • 4Jeon Min-kwangD
  • 77WandersonD
  • 31K. NishiyaM
  • 40Ki Sung-YuengM
  • 16Kim Dong-JinM
  • 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
  • 7Won Ki-JongF
  • 70Hwang Seo-WoongF
Substitutes
  • 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
  • 5Jin Si-woo
  • 8Kim Seung-HoM
  • 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
  • 12J. HwangF
  • 13Kang Min-JunD
  • 14Lee Chang-WooD
  • 25Jorge TeixeiraF
  • 37Jung Han-MinF
Coach: Tae-Ha Park

Form going into Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers

Jeju United FC

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Gimcheon Sangmu FC22 August 2026
  • W2-0FC Anyang15 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Jeonbuk Motors8 August 2026

Pohang Steelers

All competitions we cover

  • W3-0Bucheon FC 199522 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Gwangju FC15 August 2026
  • L0-2Ulsan Hyundai FC8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Jeju United FC351212114139+248
9Pohang Steelers351111133342-944

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers

  • 18 July 2026Jeju United FC 2–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
  • 11 April 2026Pohang Steelers 0–2 Jeju United FCK League 1
  • 21 September 2025Pohang Steelers 1–0 Jeju United FCK League 1
  • 21 June 2025Pohang Steelers 2–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
  • 20 April 2025Jeju United FC 2–0 Pohang SteelersK League 1
  • 28 August 2024Pohang Steelers 2–1 Jeju United FCFA Cup

Leading scorers: Jeju United FC and Pohang Steelers

Jeju United FC

GoalsAssists

  • Emerson Negueba62
  • Lee Kun-Hee41

Pohang Steelers

GoalsAssists

  • Juninho Rocha41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Pohang Steelers won 2–1 at Jeju United FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Jeju United FC at 90% and given a win for Pohang Steelers 3%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 33 matches like this one. The goals: Won Ki-Jong 15' for Pohang Steelers, K. Nishiya 49' for Pohang Steelers, J. Celestine 90' for Jeju United FC.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.