Round of 16 · 22 November 2026, 21:00 UTC

Instituto Cordoba vs Huracan Liga Profesional Argentina prediction

Estadio Presidente Peron, Cordoba

Our model says: Instituto Cordoba 1–0 Huracan

The model makes it 47% Instituto Cordoba, 30% draw, 23% Huracan — fair odds of 2.13, 3.33 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (15%).

Expected goals: Instituto Cordoba 1.38, Huracan 0.79.

Both teams to score: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 2.5: 63%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

Edge to Instituto Cordoba: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published · updated

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Instituto Cordoba's rating is built from 65 Liga Profesional Argentina matches and Huracan's from 70, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 1,383 matches.

Key facts

  • Instituto Cordoba are top in Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group A on 34 points from 16 games; Huracan are 8th in Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group B on 22 points from 16 games.
  • Instituto Cordoba are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Newell's Old Boys.
  • Huracan have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-0 win away to Argentinos Juniors.
  • Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 3 July 2025, ended Instituto Cordoba 0–0 Huracan.

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Instituto Cordoba vs Huracan

41%
Both teams to score
37%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Instituto Cordoba win Draw Huracan win
  1. 1–015%
  2. 1–113%
  3. 0–012%
  4. 2–011%
  5. 2–19%
  6. 0–18%
  7. 3–05%

Scores read Instituto Cordoba first; the other scorelines share the remaining 27%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Instituto Cordoba at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Instituto Cordoba vs Huracan

Instituto Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • D2-2Newell's Old Boys8 November 2026
  • D3-3away to Estudiantes La Plata1 November 2026
  • W1-0Deportivo Riestra27 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Defensa Y Justicia16 October 2026
  • D2-2Boca Juniors9 October 2026

Huracan

Liga Profesional Argentina

  • W2-0away to Argentinos Juniors7 November 2026
  • L0-2Tigre30 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Rosario Central25 October 2026
  • L1-2Gimnasia La Plata15 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Barracas Central10 October 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga Profesional Argentina table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Instituto Cordoba1610422615+1134
8Huracan166461416-222

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Instituto Cordoba vs Huracan

  • 3 July 2025Instituto Cordoba 0–0 HuracanCopa Argentina
  • 26 May 2024Huracan 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 5 March 2024Instituto Cordoba 2–0 HuracanCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 20 October 2023Huracan 1–3 Instituto CordobaCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 9 August 2023Instituto Cordoba 0–2 HuracanCopa Argentina
  • 13 February 2023Instituto Cordoba 0–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina

The full Instituto Cordoba vs Huracan record →

Leading scorers: Instituto Cordoba and Huracan

Instituto Cordoba

No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 26 league goals as a side.

Huracan

GoalsAssists

  • J. Caicedo140

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Instituto Cordoba Huracan
0.99 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.69
1.22 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.13
1.38 Model expected goals (this match) 0.79

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Instituto Cordoba the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Instituto Cordoba against 0.79 for Huracan. Instituto Cordoba's attack/defence rating is 0.99/1.22 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.69/1.13 for Huracan.

How the model reaches 47% for Instituto Cordoba to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Instituto Cordoba to win. Then home advantage adds 6 points, Instituto Cordoba's ratings add 4 points and Huracan's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 47%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground35%
  2. Home advantage41%+6
  3. Instituto Cordoba's ratings45%+4
  4. Huracan's ratings47%+2

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Instituto CordobaHuracan
32Matches34
16W 7D 9LRecord12W 11D 11L
43 1.3 per gameGoals scored34 1.0 per game
32 1.0 per gameGoals conceded32 0.9 per game
11 of 32Clean sheets13 of 34
7 of 32Failed to score12 of 34
4 of 5Penalties scored7 of 7
86 2.7 per gameYellow cards103 3.0 per game
1Red cards9
3-4-2-1 15×Usual shape4-2-3-1 17×

Instituto Cordoba at home · Huracan away

16Played18
10W 3D 3LRecord5W 7D 6L
25–15Goals for – against17–18
5 of 16Clean sheets6 of 18

League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Instituto Cordoba 32, Huracan 34.

Instituto Cordoba scored 7541159
Huracan conceded 264566

Instituto Cordoba score most often in the 46–60 minute window (11 goals); Huracan have let in 5 there.

Huracan scored 626558
Instituto Cordoba conceded 143988

Huracan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Instituto Cordoba have let in 8 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.