IF Brommapojkarna
vs
Djurgardens IF
Allsvenskan prediction
Our model says: IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Djurgardens IF
The model makes it 25% IF Brommapojkarna, 26% draw, 49% Djurgardens IF — fair odds of 4.00, 3.85 and 2.04. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: IF Brommapojkarna 1.11, Djurgardens IF 2.07.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published · updated
Key facts
- IF Brommapojkarna are 11th on 27 points from 22 games; Djurgardens IF are 3rd on 41 points from 22 games — Allsvenskan.
- IF Brommapojkarna have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to IFK Goteborg.
- Djurgardens IF have won 4 of their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to IF Elfsborg.
- Last 6 meetings: Djurgardens IF 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 22 May 2026, ended Djurgardens IF 1–2 IF Brommapojkarna.
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Djurgardens IF at 49% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF
IF Brommapojkarna
- L0-1IFK Goteborg19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Hammarby FF13 September 2026
- W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
- L0-4away to Gais31 August 2026
- W2-0Degerfors IF23 August 2026
Djurgardens IF
- L1-2IF Elfsborg20 September 2026
- W2-0Gais14 September 2026
- W1-0away to Kalmar FF7 September 2026
- W2-0away to Mjallby AIF3 September 2026
- W4-0Mjallby AIF31 August 2026
What these results say
- IF Brommapojkarna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Djurgardens IF scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Djurgardens IF won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Djurgardens IF kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
| 3 | Djurgardens IF | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 47 | 21 | +26 | 41 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF
- 22 May 2026Djurgardens IF 1–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 8 March 2026Djurgardens IF 2–0 IF BrommapojkarnaSvenska Cupen
- 16 January 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–1 Djurgardens IFFriendlies Clubs
- 24 August 2025Djurgardens IF 1–0 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
- 29 May 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–1 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 25 September 2024Djurgardens IF 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: IF Brommapojkarna and Djurgardens IF
IF Brommapojkarna
- M. Hansen7 goals6 assists
Djurgardens IF
- K. Lien15 goals5 assists
- Bo Åsulv Hegland8 goals14 assists
- C. Rosenquist7 goals1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
IF Brommapojkarna carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.73 for Djurgardens IF. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.11 goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 2.07 for Djurgardens IF. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
IF Brommapojkarna rate 0.61 in attack and 1.70 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Djurgardens IF rate 0.88 and 1.12.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives IF Brommapojkarna a 0% chance of the title and Djurgardens IF 10.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Djurgardens IF the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna against 2.07 for Djurgardens IF. IF Brommapojkarna's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.7 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.88/1.12 for Djurgardens IF.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
IF Brommapojkarna at home · Djurgardens IF away
League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Allsvenskan matches this season: IF Brommapojkarna 22, Djurgardens IF 22.
IF Brommapojkarna score most often in the 76–90 minute window (9 goals); Djurgardens IF have let in 2 there.
Djurgardens IF score most often in the 0–15 minute window (11 goals); IF Brommapojkarna have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
IF Brommapojkarna
- at Kalmar FF24 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 38%
- vs BK Hacken28 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 33%
- at Vasteras SK FK1 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 29%
- vs Mjallby AIF8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 40%
Djurgardens IF
- vs Orgryte IS24 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 64%
- at IFK Goteborg28 Oct · Allsvenskanwin 49%
- vs Degerfors IF1 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 59%
- at Halmstad8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 57%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.