Obolon'-Brovar
vs
Veres Rivne
Premier League prediction
Our model says: Obolon'-Brovar 0–1 Veres Rivne
The model makes it 33% Obolon'-Brovar, 30% draw, 37% Veres Rivne — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Obolon'-Brovar 1.11, Veres Rivne 1.23.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to Veres Rivne: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Obolon'-Brovar are 15th on 4 points from 7 games; Veres Rivne are 8th on 9 points from 8 games — Premier League.
- Obolon'-Brovar have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Chornomorets.
- Veres Rivne have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat at home to Shakhtar Donetsk.
- Last 6 meetings: Veres Rivne 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 11 April 2026, ended Veres Rivne 2–0 Obolon'-Brovar.
More Ukrainian Premier League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Veres Rivne at 37% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
- D1-1away to Chornomorets18 September 2026
- L1-3away to LNZ Cherkasy12 September 2026
- L0-5away to FC Kharkiv5 September 2026
- D0-0away to Kolos Kovalivka28 August 2026
- D0-0away to Kudrivka15 August 2026
Veres Rivne
- L0-3Shakhtar Donetsk9 October 2026
- W2-1Kudrivka3 October 2026
- D1-1away to Karpaty20 September 2026
- D1-1Zorya Luhansk6 September 2026
- W1-0away to LNZ Cherkasy30 August 2026
What these results say
- Obolon'-Brovar did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Veres Rivne scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Veres Rivne conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Obolon'-Brovar | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 4 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Obolon'-Brovar
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 83% today
Veres Rivne
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 17% today
From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne
- 11 April 2026Veres Rivne 2–0 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
- 4 October 2025Obolon'-Brovar 1–1 Veres RivnePremier League
- 19 July 2025Obolon'-Brovar 0–1 Veres RivneFriendlies Clubs
- 3 May 2025Veres Rivne 0–2 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
- 4 November 2024Obolon'-Brovar 0–0 Veres RivnePremier League
- 30 October 2024Veres Rivne 2–1 Obolon'-BrovarCup
Leading scorers: Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
GoalsAssists
- A. Matkevych11
- S. Sukhanov11
Veres Rivne
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Obolon'-Brovar carry a model rating of 6.06 against 6.27 for Veres Rivne. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.11 goals for Obolon'-Brovar and 1.23 for Veres Rivne. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Obolon'-Brovar rate 0.43 in attack and 2.08 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Veres Rivne rate 0.49 and 1.59.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Veres Rivne the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Obolon'-Brovar against 1.23 for Veres Rivne. Obolon'-Brovar's attack/defence rating is 0.43/2.08 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.49/1.59 for Veres Rivne.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
League matches only, Premier League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Premier League matches this season: Obolon'-Brovar 7, Veres Rivne 8.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Obolon'-Brovar
- at Polessya24 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 7%
- vs Shakhtar Donetsk31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 8%
- vs Livyi Bereh7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 29%
- at Dynamo Kyiv21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 7%
- vs Zorya Luhansk28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 26%
Veres Rivne
- vs Kolos Kovalivka24 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 37%
- vs Chornomorets31 Oct · Premier Leaguewin 42%
- at Polessya7 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 13%
- vs Bukovyna21 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 37%
- at Kryvbas KR28 Nov · Premier Leaguewin 23%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.