Huracan
vs
Tigre
Liga Profesional Argentina prediction
Our model says: Huracan 1–0 Tigre
The model makes it 40% Huracan, 34% draw, 26% Tigre — fair odds of 2.50, 2.94 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Huracan 1.04, Tigre 0.74.
Both teams to score: 34%. Over 2.5 goals: 26%, under 2.5: 74%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
The full preview, with the complete head-to-head record →
Key facts
- Huracan are 6th on 19 points from 13 games; Tigre are 12th on 12 points from 12 games — Liga Profesional Argentina, Clausura - Group B.
- Huracan have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Gimnasia La Plata.
- Tigre have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Banfield.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 21 April 2026, ended Tigre 1–1 Huracan.
More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Huracan vs Tigre
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Huracan at 40% here. Across 3,801 settled matches (as of 16 October 2026), 1,771 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Huracan vs Tigre
Huracan
- L1-2Gimnasia La Plata15 October 2026
- L0-2away to Barracas Central10 October 2026
- W1-0Aldosivi4 October 2026
- W2-1away to River Plate19 September 2026
- W2-1Racing Club14 September 2026
Tigre
- L1-2Banfield10 October 2026
- L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors4 October 2026
- L2-3away to Velez Sarsfield21 September 2026
- L0-1Rosario Central13 September 2026
- L1-2away to Gimnasia La Plata5 September 2026
What these results say
- Huracan scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Huracan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Tigre did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Tigre conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Tigre scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 19 |
| 12 | Tigre | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Huracan vs Tigre
- 21 April 2026Tigre 1–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 8 August 2025Tigre 0–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 7 February 2025Huracan 2–0 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 September 2024Huracan 0–2 TigreLiga Profesional Argentina
- 25 April 2023Tigre 1–0 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 September 2022Tigre 1–1 HuracanLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Huracan and Tigre
Huracan
GoalsAssists
- J. Caicedo130
Tigre
GoalsAssists
- I. Russo83
- M. Méndez73
- D. Romero72
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Huracan carry a model rating of 6.63 against 6.59 for Tigre. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.04 goals for Huracan and 0.74 for Tigre. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Huracan rate 0.70 in attack and 1.11 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Tigre rate 0.72 and 1.21.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,821 correct results out of 3,803 settled predictions (48%), with 383 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Huracan the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.04 expected goals for Huracan against 0.74 for Tigre. Huracan's attack/defence rating is 0.7/1.11 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.72/1.21 for Tigre.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Huracan at home · Tigre away
League matches only, Liga Profesional Argentina, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga Profesional Argentina matches this season: Huracan 29, Tigre 27.
Huracan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Tigre have let in 5 there.
Tigre score most often in the 46–60 minute window (8 goals); Huracan have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
Next match, by difficulty
Huracan
- at Argentinos Juniors8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 22%
Tigre
- vs Sarmiento Junin8 Nov · Liga Profesional Argentinawin 41%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.