Slavia Praha vs Slovácko Czech Liga prediction & result
Final score: Slavia Praha 5-1 Slovácko.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Slavia Praha, 19% draw, 25% Slovácko — fair odds of 1.79, 5.26 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slavia Praha at 56% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Slovácko
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 35Jakub MarkovičG
- 3Tomáš HolešD
- 6Ange N'GuessanD
- 42Mikuláš KonečnýD
- 43Elias PitakM
- 23Michal SadílekM
- 30Wiktor NowakM
- 45Jakub KolisekM
- 18Adonija OuandaF
- 13Mojmír ChytilF
- 10Danijel ŠturmF
- 9Albert LabíkD
- 20Emmanuel AyaosiM
- 32Pavel KačorM
- 17Lukáš ProvodM
- 2Štěpán ChaloupekD
- 29Nazar DomchakG
- 14Samuel IsifeD
- 27Tomáš VlčekD
- 22Toumani DiakiteM
- 33Urban AlexandrG
- 19Tomas KralD
- 4Andrej StojchevskiD
- 23David ŠtěpánekD
- 2Gigli NdefeM
- 26Tihomir KostadinovM
- 10Michal TrávníkM
- 15Patrik BlahútM
- 20Marek HavlíkF
- 77Pavel JuroškaF
- 30David PuškáčF
- 27Artur DolznikovM
- 7Giannis NiarchosF
- 6Martin ŠviderskýM
- 22Jocelin BehiratcheD
- 17Filip HruskaM
- 29Milan HečaG
- 34Pavel HalouskaG
- 24Martin KoscelníkD
- 25Paul NdubuisiD
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 27 | 7 | +20 | 28 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Slovácko
- 29 November 2025Slavia Praha 3–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 3 August 2025Slovácko 0–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 19 April 2025Slavia Praha 2–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
- 21 July 2024Slovácko 0–0 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
- 18 May 2024Slovácko 1–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Slovácko
Slavia Praha
GoalsAssists
- W. Nowak51
- M. Chytil50
- E. Ayaosi42
Slovácko
No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slavia Praha beat Slovácko 5–1. The model had made a win for Slavia Praha its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: P. Juroska 12' for Slovácko, M. Chytil 14' for Slavia Praha, W. Nowak 16' for Slavia Praha, A. Ouanda 35' for Slavia Praha, W. Nowak 45+1' for Slavia Praha, M. Chytil (penalty) 75' for Slavia Praha. Sent off: P. Juroska (Slovácko) 60', M. Konecny (Slavia Praha) 90+5'. On expected goals it finished 3.73–0.62.