26 July 2026, 13:00 UTC

Slavia Praha vs Slovácko Czech Liga prediction & result

Fortuna Arena, Prague
Full time5 – 1

Final score: Slavia Praha 5-1 Slovácko.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Slavia Praha, 19% draw, 25% Slovácko — fair odds of 1.79, 5.26 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Slavia Praha at 56% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
⚽P. Juroskaassist: D. Puskac
⚽M. Chytilassist: A. N'Guessan
14'
⚽W. Nowak
16'
J. Kolisek
18'
⚽A. Ouandaassist: D. Sturm
35'
W. Nowak
42'
⚽W. Nowak
45+1'
🔁J. Kolisekout: A. Labik
46'
46'
🔁D. Puskacout: G. Niarchos
46'
🔁M. Havlikout: A. Dolznikov
60'
P. Juroska
🔁A. Ouandaout: E. Ayaosi
65'
🔁W. Nowakout: P. Kacor
65'
🔁E. Pitakout: L. Provod
65'
⚽M. Chytil (pen)
75'
77'
🔁G. Ndefeout: M. Svidersky
🔁M. Chytilout: S. Chaloupek
77'
81'
🔁D. Stepanekout: J. Behiratche
D. Sturm
85'
85'
🔁T. Kostadinovout: F. Hruska
M. Konecny
90+5'

Match stats — Slavia Praha vs Slovácko

60%Possession40%
15Shots5
10On target1
5Corners0
3.73xG0.62

Goals against chances

Slavia Praha5 from 3.73 xGmore than the chances were worth
Slovácko1 from 0.62 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Slavia Praha 3-4-3
  • 35Jakub MarkovičG
  • 3Tomáš HolešD
  • 6Ange N'GuessanD
  • 42Mikuláš KonečnýD
  • 43Elias PitakM
  • 23Michal SadílekM
  • 30Wiktor NowakM
  • 45Jakub KolisekM
  • 18Adonija OuandaF
  • 13Mojmír ChytilF
  • 10Danijel ŠturmF
Substitutes
  • 9Albert LabíkD
  • 20Emmanuel AyaosiM
  • 32Pavel KačorM
  • 17Lukáš ProvodM
  • 2Štěpán ChaloupekD
  • 29Nazar DomchakG
  • 14Samuel IsifeD
  • 27Tomáš VlčekD
  • 22Toumani DiakiteM
Coach: Jindrich Trpisovsky
Slovácko 3-4-2-1
  • 33Urban AlexandrG
  • 19Tomas KralD
  • 4Andrej StojchevskiD
  • 23David ŠtěpánekD
  • 2Gigli NdefeM
  • 26Tihomir KostadinovM
  • 10Michal TrávníkM
  • 15Patrik BlahútM
  • 20Marek HavlíkF
  • 77Pavel JuroškaF
  • 30David PuškáčF
Substitutes
  • 27Artur DolznikovM
  • 7Giannis NiarchosF
  • 6Martin ŠviderskýM
  • 22Jocelin BehiratcheD
  • 17Filip HruskaM
  • 29Milan HečaG
  • 34Pavel HalouskaG
  • 24Martin KoscelníkD
  • 25Paul NdubuisiD
Coach: Jan Jelinek

Czech Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Slavia Praha8620235+1820
15Slovácko8035514-93

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Slavia Praha vs Slovácko

  • 26 July 2026Slavia Praha 5–1 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 29 November 2025Slavia Praha 3–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 3 August 2025Slovácko 0–1 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 19 April 2025Slavia Praha 2–0 SlováckoCzech Liga
  • 21 July 2024Slovácko 0–0 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga
  • 18 May 2024Slovácko 1–2 Slavia PrahaCzech Liga

Leading scorers: Slavia Praha and Slovácko

Slavia Praha

  • W. Nowak5 goals1 assists
  • M. Chytil4 goals
  • E. Ayaosi3 goals1 assists

Slovácko

No player in Czech Liga's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.