Hapoel Ramat Gan
vs
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Ligat Ha'al prediction
Our model says: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–2 Maccabi Petah Tikva
The model makes it 34% Hapoel Ramat Gan, 26% draw, 40% Maccabi Petah Tikva — fair odds of 2.94, 3.85 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Hapoel Ramat Gan 1.51, Maccabi Petah Tikva 1.67.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Hapoel Ramat Gan are 13th on 3 points from 6 games; Maccabi Petah Tikva are 9th on 6 points from 6 games — Ligat Ha'al.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-4 defeat at home to Beitar Jerusalem.
- Maccabi Petah Tikva are without a win in 4 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Hapoel Haifa.
- Last 6 meetings: Maccabi Petah Tikva 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 9 August 2026, ended Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–1 Hapoel Ramat Gan.
More Israeli Ligat Ha'al predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Maccabi Petah Tikva at 40% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- L0-4Beitar Jerusalem11 October 2026
- L0-1away to Bnei Sakhnin19 September 2026
- W2-0Maccabi Netanya14 September 2026
- L0-4away to Hapoel Tel Aviv7 September 2026
- L1-2Hapoel Beer Sheva29 August 2026
Maccabi Petah Tikva
- L1-2away to Hapoel Haifa10 October 2026
- L2-4Hapoel Jerusalem19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Beitar Jerusalem15 September 2026
- L1-2Ironi Tiberias5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Bnei Sakhnin29 August 2026
What these results say
- Hapoel Ramat Gan failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hapoel Ramat Gan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Maccabi Petah Tikva scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Maccabi Petah Tikva conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Maccabi Petah Tikva had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligat Ha'al table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 9 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 61% today
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 42% today
From our Ligat Ha'al season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
- 9 August 2026Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–1 Hapoel Ramat GanToto Cup Ligat Al
- 5 May 2026Hapoel Ramat Gan 1–1 Maccabi Petah TikvaLiga Leumit
- 12 January 2026Maccabi Petah Tikva 2–2 Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit
- 17 September 2025Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–3 Maccabi Petah TikvaLiga Leumit
- 17 January 2023Maccabi Petah Tikva 1–0 Hapoel Ramat GanLiga Leumit
- 18 October 2022Hapoel Ramat Gan 0–3 Maccabi Petah TikvaState Cup
Leading scorers: Hapoel Ramat Gan and Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Ramat Gan
No player in Ligat Ha'al's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Maccabi Petah Tikva
GoalsAssists
- J. Cortés21
- S. Owusu21
- L. Hazan21
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Hapoel Ramat Gan carry a model rating of 6.11 against 6.22 for Maccabi Petah Tikva. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.51 goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan and 1.67 for Maccabi Petah Tikva. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Hapoel Ramat Gan rate 0.44 in attack and 1.93 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Maccabi Petah Tikva rate 0.60 and 2.16.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Maccabi Petah Tikva the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.51 expected goals for Hapoel Ramat Gan against 1.67 for Maccabi Petah Tikva. Hapoel Ramat Gan's attack/defence rating is 0.44/1.93 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/2.16 for Maccabi Petah Tikva.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Hapoel Ramat Gan at home · Maccabi Petah Tikva away
League matches only, Ligat Ha'al, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligat Ha'al matches this season: Hapoel Ramat Gan 6, Maccabi Petah Tikva 6.
Hapoel Ramat Gan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (2 goals); Maccabi Petah Tikva have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Hapoel Ramat Gan
- vs Maccabi Tel Aviv31 Oct · Ligat Ha'alwin 12%
- at Hapoel Petah Tikva7 Nov · Ligat Ha'alwin 26%
- vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona28 Nov · Ligat Ha'alwin 32%
- at Ironi Tiberias1 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 24%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
- vs Hapoel Beer Sheva31 Oct · Ligat Ha'alwin 18%
- at Maccabi Tel Aviv7 Nov · Ligat Ha'alwin 11%
- vs Hapoel Tel Aviv28 Nov · Ligat Ha'alwin 18%
- vs Hapoel Petah Tikva1 Dec · Ligat Ha'alwin 36%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.