Hannover 96
vs
1. FC Kaiserslautern
DFB Pokal prediction
Our model says: Hannover 96 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern
The model makes it 38% Hannover 96, 32% draw, 30% 1. FC Kaiserslautern — fair odds of 2.63, 3.13 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Hannover 96 1.10, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 0.91.
Both teams to score: 40%. Over 2.5 goals: 32%, under 2.5: 68%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Hannover 96 are 13th on 7 points from 7 games; 1. FC Kaiserslautern are 6th on 12 points from 7 games — 2. Bundesliga.
- Hannover 96 have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to 1. FC Magdeburg.
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to 1. FC Heidenheim.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 18 January 2026, ended 1. FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 Hannover 96.
Chance to go through
DFB Pokal Round of 32 — a single match: the winner goes through.
- Hannover 9639%
- Level after ninety minutes32%
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern29%
The model's chance of each side going through in ninety minutes. Level means extra time or penalties, which it does not forecast. A new figure: not yet checked against settled ties, so read it as an estimate, not a record.
More DFB Pokal predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hannover 96 at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
Hannover 96
- L0-3away to 1. FC Magdeburg10 October 2026
- W2-1VfL Bochum20 September 2026
- L1-2away to 1. FC Nürnberg11 September 2026
- D2-2Karlsruher SC4 September 2026
- W1-0away to SV Darmstadt 9830 August 2026
1. FC Kaiserslautern
- D0-0away to 1. FC Heidenheim9 October 2026
- W1-0Eintracht Braunschweig19 September 2026
- L0-3away to 1. FC Magdeburg12 September 2026
- W3-0SV Darmstadt 985 September 2026
- W2-1away to FC St. Pauli30 August 2026
What these results say
- Hannover 96 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hannover 96 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Hannover 96 had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
- 18 January 20261. FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 3 August 2025Hannover 96 1–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 15 February 20251. FC Kaiserslautern 0–0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
- 14 September 2024Hannover 96 3–1 1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 16 March 2024Hannover 96 1–1 FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga
- 6 October 2023FC Kaiserslautern 3–1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Hannover 96 carry a model rating of 6.49 against 6.59 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.10 goals for Hannover 96 and 0.91 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Hannover 96 rate 0.66 in attack and 1.35 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; 1. FC Kaiserslautern rate 0.56 and 1.02.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hannover 96 the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.10 expected goals for Hannover 96 against 0.91 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern. Hannover 96's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.35 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.02 for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Hannover 96 at home · 1. FC Kaiserslautern away
League matches only, 2. Bundesliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 2. Bundesliga matches this season: Hannover 96 7, 1. FC Kaiserslautern 7.
Hannover 96 score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); 1. FC Kaiserslautern have let in 1 there.
1. FC Kaiserslautern score most often in the 61–75 minute window (2 goals); Hannover 96 have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Hannover 96
- vs Dynamo Dresden1 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 44%
- at 1. FC Heidenheim8 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 22%
- vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth21 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 45%
- at VfL Osnabrück28 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 36%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
- vs Hertha BSC31 Oct · 2. Bundesligawin 36%
- at VfL Osnabrück7 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 37%
- vs Dynamo Dresden22 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 45%
- at Holstein Kiel28 Nov · 2. Bundesligawin 35%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.