Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gwangju FC 1-2 Pohang Steelers.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Gwangju FC, 26% draw, 21% Pohang Steelers — fair odds of 1.89, 3.85 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Gwangju FC at 53%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Kim Kyeong-minG
- 22Kwon Sung-YunD
- 4T. van GrunsvenD
- 6Ahn Young-KyuD
- 17Joao PedroD
- 40Shin Chang-MooM
- 10Choi Kyoung-RokM
- 37Ri Yong-jikM
- 88Moon Min-seoM
- 11H. FridjonssonF
- 18J. IredaleF
- 23Kim Dong-HwaG
- 9Ha Seung-UnF
- 20Im Seung-KyumD
- 2Jang Seok-HwanD
- 50A. Ba LouaM
- 14Yu Je-HoM
- 8Ju Se-JongM
- 70Kim Woo-jinM
- 21Kim Jong-SukM
- 29Hong Sung-minG
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 4Jeon Min-kwangD
- 36H. KimD
- 2Eo Jeong-WonM
- 40Ki Sung-YuengM
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 77WandersonM
- 70Hwang Seo-WoongF
- 10J. TranziskaF
- 37Jung Han-MinF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
- 3Kim Ye-SungD
- 5Jin Si-woo
- 13Kang Min-JunD
- 14Lee Chang-WooD
- 7Won Ki-JongF
- 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
- 25Jorge TeixeiraF
Form going into Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers
Gwangju FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Bucheon FC 19958 August 2026
Pohang Steelers
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Ulsan Hyundai FC8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 35 | 3 | 14 | 18 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 23 |
| 9 | Pohang Steelers | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 44 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gwangju FC vs Pohang Steelers
- 11 July 2026Gwangju FC 0–3 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 22 April 2026Pohang Steelers 1–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 10 August 2025Pohang Steelers 1–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 18 May 2025Pohang Steelers 0–1 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 22 March 2025Gwangju FC 2–3 Pohang SteelersK League 1
- 13 September 2024Gwangju FC 2–1 Pohang SteelersK League 1
Leading scorers: Gwangju FC and Pohang Steelers
Gwangju FC
GoalsAssists
- J. Iredale90
Pohang Steelers
GoalsAssists
- Juninho Rocha41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pohang Steelers won 2–1 at Gwangju FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Gwangju FC at 53% and given a win for Pohang Steelers 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: J. Tranziska 38' for Pohang Steelers, J. Iredale 84' for Gwangju FC, Wanderson 90' for Pohang Steelers.