Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Incheon United 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Incheon United, 24% draw, 14% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 1.61, 4.17 and 7.14.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Incheon United at 62%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Kim Dong-HeonG
- 39Kim Myung-soonD
- 4Kim Gun-HeeD
- 2IbizaD
- 32Lee Ju-YongD
- 10Lee Dong-RyulM
- 15Seo Jae-MinM
- 5Lee Myoung-JooM
- 11GersoM
- 72Lee Chung-YongF
- 99M. FerrierF
- 3Lee Sang-GiD
- 8I. UndabarrenaD
- 9S. MugosaF
- 13Choi Seung-guD
- 17Kim Seong-MinM
- 20Park Kyung-subD
- 21Lee Tae-HuiG
- 23Jeong Chi-InM
- 30Kim Young-whanM
- 1Baek Jong-beomG
- 11Kim Tae-HwanD
- 45Byeon Jun-SooD
- 26Lee Jung-TaekD
- 3Park Cheol-WooD
- 7Go Jae-HyeonM
- 56K. LeeM
- 55T. ParkM
- 17Kim Joo-ChanM
- 8Kim Yi-SeokF
- 57Jung Jae-MinF
- 6Lee Soo-BinM
- 9G. LeeF
- 10Jeon Byung-KwanM
- 14Park Se-JinM
- 15Lim Dug-KeunD
- 21Kim In-GyunF
- 37Moon Hyeon-HoG
- 42Hong Si-HooD
- 48Hong Yun-SangF
Form going into Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Incheon United
No earlier matches on record this season.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
All competitions we cover
- D0-0FC Seoul8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Incheon United | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 37 | +7 | 49 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 35 | 6 | 20 | 9 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 38 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Incheon United vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- 9 May 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–3 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 5 April 2026Incheon United 2–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 15 September 2024Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–0 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 5 July 2024Incheon United 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 19 June 2024Incheon United 0–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FCFA Cup
- 5 May 2024Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–2 Incheon UnitedK League 1
Leading scorers: Incheon United and Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Incheon United
GoalsAssists
- S. Mugoša111
- M. Ferrier51
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
GoalsAssists
- Go Jae-Hyeon53
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Incheon United and Gimcheon Sangmu FC drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Incheon United at 62% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: S. Mugosa 66' for Incheon United, Park Se-Jin 87' for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.