23 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion miejski w Katowicach, Katowice
Full time5 – 0

Final score: GKS Katowice 5-0 Wisla Plock.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% GKS Katowice, 25% draw, 43% Wisla Plock — fair odds of 3.13, 4.00 and 2.33.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Wisla Plock at 43%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

GKS Katowice99%Draw1%Wisla Plock0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽E. Markovicassist: B. Galan
16'
M. Wasielewski
18'
⚽A. Jedrych (pen)
33'
61'
🔁K. Pomorskiout: F. Hiszpanski
🔁M. Wasielewskiout: E. Jirka
64'
66'
D. Gallapeni
71'
🔁J. Jimenezout: L. Sekulski
⚽P. Restaassist: B. Nowak
73'
🔁E. Markovicout: S. Bartlewicz
74'
🔁B. Galanout: M. Wdowiak
74'
⚽I. Shkurinassist: B. Nowak
81'
82'
🔁A. Silvaout: M. Wieckowski
82'
🔁P. Kunout: G. Kuchko
82'
🔁S. Hamulicout: D. Juric
🔁I. Shkurinout: J. Kokosinski
82'
🔁M. Kowalczykout: S. Milewski
82'
⚽J. Kokosinskiassist: B. Nowak
90+2'

Match stats — GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock

36%Possession64%
14Shots20
6On target5
1Corners11
2.53xG1.73

Goals against chances

GKS Katowice5 from 2.53 xGmore than the chances were worth
Wisla Plock0 from 1.73 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

GKS Katowice 3-4-3
  • 87Gabriel KobylakG
  • 6Lukas KlemenzD
  • 4Arkadiusz JędrychD
  • 55Pau RestaD
  • 23Marcin WasielewskiM
  • 68Bartosz WolskiM
  • 77Mateusz KowalczykM
  • 8Borja GalánM
  • 15Eman MarkovićF
  • 17Ilia ShkurinF
  • 27Bartosz NowakF
Substitutes
  • 1Maciej KikolskiG
  • 30Alan CzerwińskiD
  • 14Marius OlsenD
  • 97Erik JirkaM
  • 19Kacper ŁukasiakM
  • 31Szymon BartlewiczM
  • 10Marcel WędrychowskiM
  • 22Sebastian MilewskiM
  • 7Mateusz WdowiakM
Coach: Rafal Gorak
Wisla Plock 3-4-3
  • 12Rafał LeszczyńskiG
  • 4Marcus Haglind SangreD
  • 35Marcin KamińskiD
  • 34Afonso SilvaD
  • 21Žan RogeljM
  • 17Adam RadwańskiM
  • 6Krystian PomorskiM
  • 23Patryk KunM
  • 11JimeF
  • 10Said HamulićF
  • 19Dion GallapeniF
Substitutes
  • 26Jakub BurekG
  • 44Przemysław MisiakD
  • 41Marcin WięckowskiD
  • 16Fabian HiszpańskiM
  • 91Gleb KuchkoM
  • 24Nikodem RogowskiD
  • 20Łukasz SekulskiF
  • 22Kacper BłaszkiewiczF
  • 9Deni JurićF
Coach: Adam Majewski

Form going into GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock

GKS Katowice

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Motor Lublin16 August 2026
  • W2-1Hapoel Tel Aviv12 August 2026
  • W2-1Wieczysta Kraków9 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv6 August 2026
  • W3-1Radomiak Radom2 August 2026

Wisla Plock

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Wisla Krakow7 August 2026
  • D0-0Widzew Łódź31 July 2026
  • W2-1away to Raków Częstochowa26 July 2026

What these results say

  • GKS Katowice conceded in every one of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8GKS Katowice147072520+521
12Wisla Plock134361421-715

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: GKS Katowice vs Wisla Plock

  • 4 April 2026GKS Katowice 1–0 Wisla PlockEkstraklasa
  • 26 September 2025Wisla Plock 1–1 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
  • 23 September 2025GKS Katowice 4–2 Wisla PlockCup
  • 24 February 2024Wisla Plock 2–1 GKS KatowiceI Liga
  • 11 August 2023GKS Katowice 4–1 Wisla PlockI Liga

Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Wisla Plock

GKS Katowice

GoalsAssists

  • I. Shkurin82
  • B. Nowak78

Wisla Plock

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

GKS Katowice beat Wisla Plock 5–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Wisla Plock at 43% and given a win for GKS Katowice 32%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: E. Markovic 16' for GKS Katowice, A. Jedrych (penalty) 33' for GKS Katowice, P. Resta 73' for GKS Katowice, I. Shkurin 81' for GKS Katowice, J. Kokosinski 90+2' for GKS Katowice. On expected goals it finished 2.53–1.73.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.