Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Pogon Szczecin 2-2 Wisla Krakow.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Pogon Szczecin, 23% draw, 38% Wisla Krakow — fair odds of 2.56, 4.35 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Pogon Szczecin at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 77V. CojocaruG
- 28L. WahlqvistD
- 13D. KeramitsisD
- 29L. WillenD
- 4Leo BorgesD
- 16P. DziczekM
- 7M. JuwaraM
- 8F. UlvestadM
- 35M. WojciechowskiM
- 18P. MukairuM
- 17J. NsameF
- 33A. PeskovicG
- 15H. AliD
- 23B. MendyD
- 41A. SzalaiD
- 75A. OssowskiD
- 6J. BieganskiM
- 3K. AcostaM
- 47N. LawaM
- 11K. GrosickiM
- 1M. LubikG
- 34R. GigerD
- 6A. UrygaD
- 29D. GrujcicD
- 52J. KrzyzanowskiD
- 7J. ErtlthalerM
- 12J. IgbekemeM
- 27E. YouanM
- 41K. DudaM
- 17M. BozicM
- 11J. SanchezF
- 28P. LetkiewiczG
- 97W. BiedrzyckiD
- 4R. MikulecD
- 13M. MaisonneuveD
- 50M. KutwaD
- 32O. PlawinskiM
- 21J. GuillemenotF
- 51M. KuziemkaM
- 9A. RodadoF
Form going into Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Motor Lublin8 August 2026
- W2-0away to Cracovia Krakow3 August 2026
- L0-1Legia Warszawa24 July 2026
Wisla Krakow
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Gornik Zabrze16 August 2026
- W2-1Wisla Plock7 August 2026
- L3-4away to Piast Gliwice1 August 2026
- W2-1GKS Katowice26 July 2026
What these results say
- Wisla Krakow scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Wisla Krakow conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Wisla Krakow had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 24 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pogon Szczecin vs Wisla Krakow
- 11 October 2025Pogon Szczecin 3–3 Wisla KrakowFriendlies Clubs
- 2 May 2024Pogon Szczecin 1–2 Wisla KrakowCup
- 18 March 2022Pogon Szczecin 4–1 Wisla KrakowEkstraklasa
- 26 September 2021Wisla Krakow 0–1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
- 19 February 2021Wisla Krakow 2–1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow
Pogon Szczecin
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Sánchez91
Wisla Krakow
GoalsAssists
- Ángel Rodado41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Pogon Szczecin at 39% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Juwara 3' for Pogon Szczecin, M. Juwara (own goal) 20' for Wisla Krakow, L. Wahlqvist 24' for Pogon Szczecin, E. Youan 33' for Wisla Krakow. On expected goals it finished 1.35–0.86.