Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Radomiak Radom 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Radomiak Radom, 24% draw, 41% Zaglebie Lubin — fair odds of 2.86, 4.17 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Zaglebie Lubin at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Filip MajchrowiczG
- 24Zié OuattaraD
- 3Kryspin SzcześniakD
- 72Filip KoperskiD
- 13Jan GrzesikD
- 77Christos DonisM
- 7Ché NunnelyM
- 27Rafał WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 90Ronaldo LumungoM
- 11Fernand GouréF
- 28Romário BaróM
- 15Abdoul TapsobaF
- 23Kacper KarasekM
- 18ManuF
- 8Ibrahima CamaráM
- 99Bartlomiej GradeckiG
- 44Wiktor KoptasG
- 5Jérémy BlascoD
- 33Oskar MarkiewiczD
- 33Zlatan AlomerovićG
- 13Mateusz GrzybekD
- 4Damian MichalskiD
- 5Aleks ŁawniczakD
- 16Josip ĆorlukaD
- 39Filip KocabaM
- 44Marcel RegulaM
- 37Sebastian KerkM
- 8Damian DąbrowskiM
- 18Filip SzymczakF
- 7Jakub SypekF
- 3Roman YakubaD
- 26Jakub KolanM
- 71Kamil NowogońskiM
- 88Mihael MlinarićF
- 9Michalis KosidisF
- 1Jasmin BurićG
- 31Igor OrlikowskiD
- 38Szymon KarasinskiD
- 94Maciej UrbańskiD
Form going into Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
All competitions we cover
- L0-5away to Legia Warszawa14 August 2026
- L1-3Gornik Zabrze8 August 2026
- L1-3away to GKS Katowice2 August 2026
- W2-1Wieczysta Kraków24 July 2026
Zaglebie Lubin
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Slask Wroclaw15 August 2026
- W3-2away to Raków Częstochowa9 August 2026
- L1-3away to Legia Warszawa2 August 2026
- W2-0Piast Gliwice27 July 2026
What these results say
- Radomiak Radom conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Radomiak Radom had three goals or more.
- Radomiak Radom failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Zaglebie Lubin scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Zaglebie Lubin won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Zaglebie Lubin conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 14 |
| 6 | Zaglebie Lubin | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin
- 11 April 2026Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 4 October 2025Radomiak Radom 3–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 25 September 2025Radomiak Radom 0–2 Zaglebie LubinCup
- 5 April 2025Radomiak Radom 0–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 29 September 2024Zaglebie Lubin 1–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
GoalsAssists
- J. Grzesik53
Zaglebie Lubin
GoalsAssists
- M. Reguła50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Zaglebie Lubin at 41% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 0.78–1.24.