Gangwon FC vs Pohang Steelers K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gangwon FC 0-0 Pohang Steelers.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Gangwon FC, 29% draw, 29% Pohang Steelers — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gangwon FC at 42% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Park Cheong-HyoG
- 27Kim Do-HyunD
- 23M. TuciD
- 13Lee Gi-HyukD
- 99Kang Joon-HyuckD
- 26W. ChoM
- 97Lee You-HyeonM
- 6Kim Dong-HyunM
- 70J. SekidikaM
- 19Park Sang-HyeokF
- 7Kim Dae-WonF
- 5A. Mammar ChaoucheD
- 8Lee Seung-WonM
- 9Kim Gun-HeeF
- 10Mo Jae-HyeonF
- 14Y. KangM
- 24H. ParkD
- 47Shin Min-HaD
- 51Cho Min-KyuG
- 77A. HleihelF
- 29Hong Sung-minG
- 77WandersonD
- 4Jeon Min-kwangD
- 20Park Chan-YongD
- 2Eo Jeong-WonD
- 16Kim Dong-JinM
- 40Ki Sung-YuengM
- 31K. NishiyaM
- 7Won Ki-JongF
- 18Cho Sang-HyeokF
- 70Hwang Seo-WoongF
- 1Yun Pyeong-GukG
- 5Jin Si-woo
- 8Kim Seung-HoM
- 11J. da Rocha JuniorF
- 13Kang Min-JunD
- 14Lee Chang-WooD
- 25Jorge TeixeiraF
- 36H. KimM
- 37Jung Han-MinF
Form going into Gangwon FC vs Pohang Steelers
Gangwon FC
- D2-2Gwangju FC26 August 2026
- L0-3away to Daejeon Citizen23 August 2026
- W3-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC16 August 2026
Pohang Steelers
- W2-1away to Jeju United FC25 August 2026
- W3-0Bucheon FC 199522 August 2026
- W2-1away to Gwangju FC15 August 2026
- L0-2Ulsan Hyundai FC8 August 2026
What these results say
- Pohang Steelers won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Pohang Steelers scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Pohang Steelers conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 36 | 28 | +8 | 43 |
| 7 | Pohang Steelers | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Gangwon FC and Pohang Steelers
Gangwon FC
- A. Halaihal4 goals
- Mo Jae-Hyeon3 goals2 assists
Pohang Steelers
- Lee Ho-Jae4 goals
- J. Tranziska3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.