30 August 2026, 14:30 UTC

FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers Super League prediction & result

Rheinpark Stadion, Vaduz
Full time5 – 2

Final score: FC Vaduz 5-2 Grasshoppers.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% FC Vaduz, 28% draw, 27% Grasshoppers — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Vaduz at 45% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Vaduz99%Draw1%Grasshoppers0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽L. Dalipi
12'
15'
🔁T. Meyerout: O. Clemente
Julian Stark
20'
35'
⚽Lee Young-Junassist: N. Muci
⚽D. Schwizerassist: N. Hasler
43'
45+2'
•Amir Abrashi
45'
⚽N. Muciassist: A. Abrashi
46'
🔁N. Muciout: L. Plange
53'
Justin Hammel
⚽D. Schwizer (pen)
55'
⚽J. Cabreraassist: L. Dalipi
58'
59'
🔁A. Abrashiout: D. Sahin
59'
🔁Lee Young-Junout: S. Bengondo
71'
🔁M. Gibelaldeout: S. Marques
⚽J. Cabreraassist: L. Dalipi
76'
🔁M. Monsbergerout: D. Kasper
77'
Juan Cabrera
79'
🔁L. Mackout: M. Walker
82'
🔁M. Cocicout: M. Hammerich
82'
•Lutfi Dalipi
83'
🔁J. Starkout: M. Beeli
85'
🔁L. Dalipiout: M. Eberhard
85'

Match stats — FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers

53%Possession47%
13Shots16
6On target3
5Corners9
2.31xG2.99

Goals against chances

FC Vaduz5 from 2.31 xGmore than the chances were worth
Grasshoppers2 from 2.99 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Vaduz 4-3-1-2
  • 25L. SchaffranG
  • 4N. HaslerD
  • 6D. SimaniD
  • 5L. BerishaD
  • 7D. Schwizer
  • 17J. StarkM
  • 20L. MackM
  • 10J. CabreraM
  • 28M. CocicM
  • 11L. DalipiF
  • 9M. MonsbergerF
Substitutes
  • 1B. BuchelG
  • 27N. LangD
  • 14M. BeeliD
  • 29M. SawadogoD
  • 22M. EberhardM
  • 30M. WalkerM
  • 23M. HammerichM
  • 19D. DjokicF
  • 18D. KasperF
Coach: Marc Schneider
Grasshoppers 4-3-1-2
  • 71J. HammelG
  • 28S. StroscioD
  • 44B. PllanaD
  • 4L. MikulicD
  • 57N. RissiD
  • 8T. MeyerM
  • 66M. GibelaldeM
  • 17S. KrasniqiM
  • 6A. AbrashiM
  • 9N. MuciF
  • 18Lee Young-JunF
Substitutes
  • 1M. HubelG
  • 34A. ArigoniD
  • 58Y. BettkoberD
  • 10O. ClementeM
  • 23S. MarquesM
  • 56D. SahinM
  • 55D. PapicM
  • 60S. BengondoF
  • 7L. PlangeF
Coach: Peter Zeidler

Form going into FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers

FC Vaduz

  • L2-4away to BSC Young Boys23 August 2026
  • D2-2Inter Turku13 August 2026
  • L2-3away to FC Sion9 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Inter Turku6 August 2026
  • L2-3FC St. Gallen2 August 2026

Grasshoppers

  • L1-2away to Servette FC8 August 2026
  • L1-4FC Lugano2 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Lausanne25 July 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11FC Vaduz92071821-36
10Grasshoppers92251324-118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers

  • 30 August 2026FC Vaduz 5–2 GrasshoppersSuper League
  • 24 June 2023Grasshoppers 4–3 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
  • 11 November 2021Grasshoppers 3–1 FC VaduzFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 July 2020FC Vaduz 2–3 GrasshoppersChallenge League
  • 31 January 2020Grasshoppers 1–2 FC VaduzChallenge League
  • 25 October 2019Grasshoppers 3–3 FC VaduzChallenge League

Leading scorers: FC Vaduz and Grasshoppers

FC Vaduz

  • M. Monsberger4 goals1 assist
  • Juan Cabrera4 goals
  • L. Dalipi3 goals8 assists

Grasshoppers

  • S. Bengondo3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.