FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 Brondby.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% FC Nordsjaelland, 26% draw, 26% Brondby — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 48% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13Andreas HansenG
- 2Peter AnkersenD
- 3Tobias SalquistD
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 23Runar Robinsonn NorheimM
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 6Mark BrinkM
- 25Juho LähteenmäkiM
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 11Alexander LindF
- 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
- 15Stephen AcquahD
- 29Villum BerthelsenM
- 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenM
- 8Nicklas RøjkjærM
- 47Malte HeydeM
- 22Carljohan ErikssonG
- 32Victor GustafsenD
- 42Matej TukaD
- 37Lamine SadioM
- 1Patrick PentzG
- 2Oliver VilladsenD
- 30Jordi VanlerbergheD
- 4Luis BinksD
- 27Mats KöhlertD
- 99Bartosz SliszM
- 18Max EjdumM
- 21Marcus YounisM
- 29Mads FrøkjærM
- 7Olti HyseniM
- 11Filip BundgaardF
- 24Marko DivkovićD
- 51Oskar FengerF
- 19Sho FukudaF
- 9Patrick MortensenF
- 10Daniel WassM
- 50William Sonne-SchmidtG
- 32Frederik AlvesD
- 37Raphael CanutD
- 3Christopher OlivierD
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby
FC Nordsjaelland
- W3-2away to FC St. Gallen27 August 2026
- W3-0away to Sonderjyske23 August 2026
- W1-0FC St. Gallen20 August 2026
- W1-0Silkeborg16 August 2026
- W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026
Brondby
- W3-1Silkeborg24 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Nordsjaelland won every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | Brondby | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby
- 30 August 2026FC Nordsjaelland 3–1 BrondbySuperliga
- 4 July 2026Brondby 3–3 FC NordsjaellandFriendlies Clubs
- 1 May 2026Brondby 1–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 7 April 2026FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 BrondbySuperliga
- 9 November 2025Brondby 2–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 30 October 2025FC Nordsjaelland 4–2 BrondbyDBU Pokalen
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby
FC Nordsjaelland
- A. Lind3 goals1 assist
- H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assist
Brondby
- O. Hyseni3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.