Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia Mendoza Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes La Plata 3-0 Gimnasia Mendoza.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Estudiantes La Plata, 32% draw, 28% Gimnasia Mendoza — fair odds of 2.50, 3.13 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Estudiantes La Plata at 40%: of 2,924 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.0% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Line-ups
- 16F. MusleraG
- 40E. MancusoD
- 4S. NúñezD
- 14L. GonzálezD
- 13G. BenedettiD
- 21Lucas Ezequiel PioviM
- 31B. GallegoM
- 17J. BurgosM
- 34M. MonsalveM
- 18E. CetréM
- 19A. GaichF
- 28B. AguirreF
- 53Leandro Luciano Alcaraz TorresM
- 27L. AlarioF
- 15S. ArzamendiaD
- 12R. BorzoneG
- 9G. CarrilloF
- 26R. Funes MoriD
- 52B. KociubinskiM
- 36J. PereyraD
- 23C. RigamontiG
- 32L. ParedesD
- 2D. MondinoD
- 4E. MuñozD
- 3M. RecaldeD
- 21F. AntoniniM
- 28T. O'ConnorM
- 8M. VargasM
- 30E. FernándezM
- 26F. LencioniM
- 9A. MódicaF
- 27B. ArmoaF
- 33B. AndradaF
- 5N. BarbozaM
- 42L. CarreraM
- 19J. CeballosM
- 22J. FrancoD
- 16G. GuiffreyD
- 31L. PetruchiG
- 11S. RodríguezF
Form going into Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Estudiantes La Plata
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Lanus22 September 2026
- W2-1Platense12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield6 September 2026
- D0-0Newell's Old Boys31 August 2026
- L0-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 August 2026
Gimnasia Mendoza
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Deportivo Riestra19 September 2026
- L0-2away to Defensa Y Justicia11 September 2026
- D2-2Boca Juniors5 September 2026
- W3-0away to Independiente30 August 2026
- W3-2away to Gimnasia La Plata22 August 2026
What these results say
- Estudiantes La Plata failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Estudiantes La Plata conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Estudiantes La Plata | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | +1 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Estudiantes La Plata vs Gimnasia Mendoza
- 18 March 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 1–2 Estudiantes La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Estudiantes La Plata and Gimnasia Mendoza
Estudiantes La Plata
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.
Gimnasia Mendoza
GoalsAssists
- A. Módica140
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Estudiantes La Plata beat Gimnasia Mendoza 3–0. The model had made a win for Estudiantes La Plata its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Edwuin Cetre (penalty) 83' for Estudiantes La Plata, Fabricio Pérez 90' for Estudiantes La Plata, Fabricio Pérez 90+4' for Estudiantes La Plata.
How the call on Estudiantes La Plata v Gimnasia Mendoza has moved
First published on 21 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 40% / 32% / 28%: the biggest move is the draw, up 4 points.
- Estudiantes La Plata win40%▼ −2
- Draw32%▲ +4
- Gimnasia Mendoza win28%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.