Banfield vs Rosario Central Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Banfield 1-1 Rosario Central.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Banfield, 31% draw, 37% Rosario Central — fair odds of 3.13, 3.23 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Rosario Central at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Banfield vs Rosario Central
Line-ups
- 50D. RodríguezG
- 4J. AlfaroD
- 2S. DanieleD
- 6N. MerianoD
- 27I. AbrahamD
- 20T. AdoryánM
- 5Santiago EsquivelM
- 18Federico MedinaM
- 10L. GómezM
- 40D. ZalazarM
- 9A. BalboaF
- 30F. AnselmoF
- 16J. AcostaF
- 19L. CanoD
- 28M. HernándezF
- 24S. LópezM
- 37R. MalancaD
- 13Brandon OviedoD
- 35I. PaisM
- 3N. PazD
- 23J. LedesmaG
- 32E. CoronelD
- 46Ignacio OvandoD
- 13G. ÁvilaD
- 33A. SotoD
- 31F. NavarroM
- 5F. IbarraM
- 27G. DuarteM
- 11Á. Di MaríaM
- 26G. CantizanoM
- 22E. CopettiF
- 10F. CerviM
- 18J. FernándezF
- 44Paolo GiacconeM
- 24Juan Valentín GiménezD
- 6J. KomarD
- 15F. MalloD
- 9M. RubenF
- 2S. ZarachoD
- 16T. BadaloniF
Form going into Banfield vs Rosario Central
Banfield
All competitions we cover
- D2-2away to Gimnasia La Plata19 September 2026
- D1-1Barracas Central14 September 2026
- L1-3away to Aldosivi5 September 2026
- L2-3River Plate30 August 2026
- L1-2away to Newell's Old Boys23 August 2026
Rosario Central
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Argentinos Juniors20 September 2026
- W1-0away to Tigre13 September 2026
- D1-1Newell's Old Boys6 September 2026
- L1-2Gimnasia La Plata29 August 2026
- D2-2away to Talleres Cordoba25 August 2026
What these results say
- Banfield did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Banfield scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Banfield conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Rosario Central scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 15 |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | +14 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Banfield vs Rosario Central
- 15 March 2026Rosario Central 2–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 20 October 2024Rosario Central 1–1 BanfieldLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 January 2024Rosario Central 0–0 BanfieldCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 28 August 2023Banfield 3–0 Rosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 29 May 2023Banfield 2–0 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Banfield and Rosario Central
Banfield
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Rosario Central
GoalsAssists
- Á. Di María115
- G. Ávila73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Banfield and Rosario Central drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Rosario Central at 37% and given a draw 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Tomas Adoryan 41' for Banfield, Giovanni Ismael Cantizano 80' for Rosario Central.
How the call on Banfield v Rosario Central has moved
First published on 22 Sep at 35% / 28% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 32% / 31% / 37%: the biggest move is Banfield's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Banfield win32%▼ −3
- Draw31%▲ +3
- Rosario Central win37%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.