Oțelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Oțelul 2-3 Corvinul Hunedoara.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Oțelul, 33% draw, 27% Corvinul Hunedoara — fair odds of 2.50, 3.03 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Oțelul at 40%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Oțelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Line-ups
- 1C. Dur-BozoancăG
- 5H. SyllaD
- 3G. ChristopoulosD
- 6P. IacobD
- 28Miguel SilvaD
- 10AndrézinhoM
- 39T. LunguM
- 24D. BordunM
- 27Pedro NunoM
- 7João PauloM
- 9PatrickF
- 11Zé TurboF
- 44D. ZatorD
- 12D. PaharnicuG
- 20R. OlteanuM
- 15Mehmet TitizF
- 16D. NeicuD
- 13M. ContraG
- 8Rafael BritoM
- 30M. FrunzăM
- 21C. SanduG
- 13F. IacobD
- 15M. IvančevićD
- 30A. ManolacheD
- 10A. NeacșaD
- 23I. CărărușM
- 20Sérgio RibeiroM
- 99E. YeboahM
- 22A. FábryM
- 19N. PîrvulescuM
- 9R. EspinosaF
- 70R. DeaconuM
- 12A. FrânculescuG
- 32A. GillardF
- 14M. HayatuF
- 97D. HrezdacM
- 18F. IlieD
- 29E. OkoroF
- 11Roger JunioM
- 33S DrîngăG
Form going into Oțelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Oțelul
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Universitatea Cluj14 September 2026
- L0-1Rapid6 September 2026
- D2-2away to FC Voluntari28 August 2026
- W1-0Arges Pitesti24 August 2026
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova16 August 2026
Corvinul Hunedoara
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova13 September 2026
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti6 September 2026
- D1-1Dinamo Bucuresti29 August 2026
- D0-0away to Uta Arad22 August 2026
- W3-0CFR 1907 Cluj16 August 2026
What these results say
- Oțelul failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Oțelul conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Corvinul Hunedoara failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Corvinul Hunedoara had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Oțelul | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Oțelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara
- 15 May 2024Corvinul Hunedoara 2–2 OțelulCupa României
Leading scorers: Oțelul and Corvinul Hunedoara
Oțelul
GoalsAssists
- Patrick40
Corvinul Hunedoara
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Corvinul Hunedoara won 3–2 at Oțelul. The model had leaned towards a win for Oțelul at 40% and given a win for Corvinul Hunedoara 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Daniel Pirvulescu 20' for Corvinul Hunedoara, Miguel Silva 51' for Oțelul, Gideon Uche Goodlad 62' for Corvinul Hunedoara, Denis Bordun 64' for Oțelul, Ángel Nahuel Gillard 73' for Corvinul Hunedoara.
How the call on Oțelul v Corvinul Hunedoara has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 37% / 31% / 32% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 13 updates, it read 40% / 33% / 27%: the biggest move is Corvinul Hunedoara's chance of winning, down 5 points.
- Oțelul win40%▲ +3
- Draw33%▲ +2
- Corvinul Hunedoara win27%▼ −5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.