31 August 2026, 18:45 UTC

Dijon vs Saint Etienne Ligue 2 prediction & result

Dijon
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Dijon 2-3 Saint Etienne.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Dijon, 29% draw, 34% Saint Etienne — fair odds of 2.70, 3.45 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Dijon at 37% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Dijon0%Draw4%Saint Etienne96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
⚽T. Balloassist: I. Cardona
⚽S. Chouchaneassist: P. Bellon
39'
Paul Bellon
44'
45+2'
Zuriko Davitashvili
⚽S. Chouchane
55'
64'
⚽T. Ballo
🔁T. Dongout: A. Ntamack
65'
🔁J. Tavaresout: Y. Barka
65'
65'
🔁T. Balloout: J. Duffus
66'
🔁T. Svetlinout: B. Old
🔁A. Lembezatout: J. Marie
73'
🔁P. Bellonout: Y. Aka
73'
80'
⚽A. Boakyeassist: Z. Davitashvili
🔁M. Fatyout: M. Barreto
82'
84'
🔁A. Boakyeout: A. Baallal
90+3'
🔁Z. Davitashviliout: N. El Jamali

Match stats — Dijon vs Saint Etienne

49%Possession51%
13Shots17
7On target12
3Corners3

Line-ups

Dijon 4-1-3-2
  • 16P. DelecroixG
  • 93I. BouleghchaD
  • 23L. LacroixD
  • 5Q. BernardD
  • 31M. FatyD
  • 8P. BellonM
  • 21S. ChouchaneM
  • 17A. LembezatM
  • 18B. NdeziM
  • 11J. TavaresF
  • 9T. DongF
Substitutes
  • 46I. Marie-RoseG
  • 6W. DioufD
  • 4M. BarretoM
  • 14J. MarieM
  • 20H. Vargas-RiosM
  • 42Y. AkaD
  • 7B. HamadaM
  • 29A. NtamackF
  • 10Y. BarkaF
Coach: Baptiste Ridira
Saint Etienne 4-2-3-1
  • 30G. LarsonneurG
  • 23K. PedroD
  • 26J. Le CardinalD
  • 18S. NairD
  • 6M. BernauerD
  • 16T. SvetlinM
  • 14A. CsongvaiM
  • 22Z. DavitashviliM
  • 20A. BoakyeM
  • 8T. BalloM
  • 7I. CardonaF
Substitutes
  • 1M. NdiayeG
  • 40L. LavalleeG
  • 11B. OldF
  • 37N. KasiaD
  • 35M. SissokoM
  • 32A. BaallalM
  • 31N. El JamaliM
  • 17J. DuffusF
Coach: Ian Cathro

Form going into Dijon vs Saint Etienne

Dijon

  • D1-1away to Clermont Foot21 August 2026

Saint Etienne

  • W4-0Grenoble22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Dijon7232101009
1Saint Etienne7511198+1116

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Dijon vs Saint Etienne

  • 11 February 2023Saint Etienne 2–0 DijonLigue 2
  • 30 July 2022Dijon 2–1 Saint EtienneLigue 2
  • 23 May 2021Saint Etienne 0–1 DijonLigue 1
  • 6 December 2020Dijon 0–0 Saint EtienneLigue 1
  • 10 August 2019Dijon 1–2 Saint EtienneLigue 1

Leading scorers: Dijon and Saint Etienne

Dijon

  • Júlio Tavares3 goals1 assist
  • Samy Olivier Chouchane3 goals

Saint Etienne

  • I. Cardona4 goals4 assists
  • A. Boakye4 goals3 assists
  • T. Ballo4 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.